Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.
17%
69%
TOR winsTBL wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
TOR attack the right-hand net, TBL the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
TORTBL