Tue, Mar 10, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
San Jose Sharks 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 3:10Shot by Dahlin, saved by Askarov
- P1 3:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Askarov
- P1 4:12Goal by Quinn (Zucker, McLeod)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Wennberg, Sherwood, Kurashev
- P1 5:15Shot by Wennberg, saved by Lyon
- P1 5:39Goal by Tuch (Dahlin, Samuelsson)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Wennberg, Desharnais, Sherwood, Kurashev, Dickinson
- P1 5:45Shot by Benson, saved by Askarov
- P1 5:55Shot by Kesselring, saved by Askarov
- P1 7:47Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Lyon
- P1 8:38Shot by Eklund, saved by Lyon
- P1 9:07Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon
- P1 9:57Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Askarov
- P1 12:54Goal by Celebrini (Smith)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Kesselring, Krebs, Byram · SJS Desharnais, Smith, Celebrini, Dickinson, Graf
- P1 13:36Shot by Ostlund, saved by Askarov
- P1 15:34Ostapchuk: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Stanley, Kesselring, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Ostapchuk, Dickinson
- P1 15:34Stanley: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Stanley, Kesselring, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Ostapchuk, Dickinson
- P1 15:56Goodrow: Instigator (2 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Celebrini, Dickinson
- P1 15:56Malenstyn: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Celebrini, Dickinson
- P1 15:56Goodrow: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Celebrini, Dickinson
- P1 15:56Goodrow: Instigator misconduct (10 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Goodrow, Gaudette, Desharnais, Celebrini, Dickinson
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:28Shot by Ostlund, saved by Askarov
- P2 1:50Shot by Power, saved by Askarov
- P2 2:02Shot by Eklund, saved by Lyon
- P2 2:55Shot by Krebs, saved by Askarov
- P2 3:29Shot by Doan, saved by Askarov
- P2 4:59Goal by Malenstyn (Krebs, Dahlin)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · SJS Wennberg, Desharnais, Sherwood, Kurashev, Dickinson
- P2 6:12Shot by Thompson, saved by Askarov
- P2 6:15Shot by Benson, saved by Askarov
- P2 7:54Shot by Krebs, saved by Askarov
- P2 8:51Goal by Zucker (Quinn, Power)+7 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Sherwood, Kurashev, Mukhamadullin
- P2 9:21Shot by Doan, saved by Askarov
- P2 12:01Shot by Quinn, saved by Askarov
- P2 12:43Shot by Desharnais, saved by Lyon
- P2 13:23Shot by Ostlund, saved by Askarov
- P2 13:55Benson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Thompson, Dahlin, Power, Benson · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Smith, Graf, Misa
- P2 13:55Orlov: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Thompson, Dahlin, Power, Benson · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Smith, Graf, Misa
- P2 13:55Thompson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Thompson, Dahlin, Power, Benson · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Smith, Graf, Misa
- P2 14:47Shot by Wennberg, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 15:27Shot by Toffoli, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 16:34Shot by Ostapchuk, saved by Lyon
- P2 17:54Shot by Graf, saved by Lyon
- P2 18:00Shot by Toffoli, saved by Lyon
- P2 19:29Goal by Sherwood (Ferraro, Wennberg)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Norris, Dahlin, Doan, Power · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Sherwood, Kurashev, Mukhamadullin
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:42Goal by Quinn (McLeod, Dahlin)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Smith, Celebrini, Graf
- P3 0:46Shot by Thompson, saved by Askarov
- P3 5:01Shot by Misa, saved by Lyon
- P3 6:32Shot by McLeod, saved by Askarov
- P3 6:50Zucker: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Stanley, Thompson, Kesselring, Ostlund · SJS Wennberg, Desharnais, Sherwood, Kurashev, Dickinson
- P3 6:56Goal by Wennberg (Toffoli)4v5+4 pts WP
On ice: BUF Carrick, Tuch, Samuelsson, Power · SJS Orlov, Toffoli, Wennberg, Smith, Celebrini
- P3 10:35Stanley: High sticking (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Carrick, Malenstyn, Stanley, Krebs, Byram · SJS Desharnais, Sherwood, Kurashev, Smith, Celebrini, Dickinson
- P3 10:38Shot by Wennberg, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 10:55Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 14:37Shot by Graf, saved by Lyon
- P3 17:14Goal by Quinn (McLeod)5v6+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn · SJS Orlov, Toffoli, Wennberg, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini
- P3 17:28Shot by Krebs, saved by Askarov
- P3 17:36Shot by Kesselring, saved by Askarov
- P3 18:19Shot by Toffoli, saved by Lyon
- P3 18:47Shot by Goodrow, saved by Lyon
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final