Tue, Mar 10, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
San Jose Sharks 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
64%
20%
BUF winsSJS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Smith–Celebrini–Graf | Wennberg–Sherwood–Kurashev | Toffoli–Eklund–Misa | Goodrow–Gaudette–Ostapchuk | Sherwood–Eklund–Misa | Orlov–Klingberg | Ferraro–Mukhamadullin | Desharnais–Dickinson | Ferraro–Dickinson | Orlov–Ferraro | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 2:430.13–0.00 | 2:330.26–0.00 | 0:590.07–0.00 | 1:520.10–0.02 | 4:280.25–0.00 | 4:020.28–0.02 | 1:170.07–0.00 | |||
| Thompson–Ostlund–Benson | 2:140.43–0.12 | 1:500.10–0.01 | 0:410.10–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:030.43–0.00 | 2:230.10–0.00 | 3:150.15–0.19 | ||
| Carrick–Malenstyn–Krebs | 0:490.08–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.18 | 1:140.05–0.00 | 2:590.13–0.11 | 1:050.11–0.02 | 1:500.08–0.15 | ||||
| Norris–Doan–Ostlund | 3:430.07–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:300.01–0.00 | 3:060.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Norris–Doan | 2:010.34–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:580.34–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 1:390.00–0.01 | |||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | 0:500.00–0.25 | 1:050.08–0.06 | 1:030.01–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.06 | 2:180.09–0.26 | |||||
| Carrick–Malenstyn–Benson | 2:110.09–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 1:040.14–0.00 | 1:040.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 1:060.23–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.02 | 1:460.23–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Norris–Krebs–Doan | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:550.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Carrick–Doan–Benson | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stanley–Kesselring | 0:310.00–0.06 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 5:310.24–0.30 | 2:290.07–0.02 | 1:540.08–0.00 | 3:280.05–0.10 | 6:040.23–0.27 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||
| Byram–Power | 3:370.16–0.00 | 3:270.45–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:170.25–0.00 | 5:000.35–0.00 | 1:080.14–0.00 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:070.04–0.00 | 1:590.08–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:590.07–0.00 | 3:050.00–0.00 | 1:550.04–0.08 | 1:420.08–0.06 | 1:010.07–0.00 | ||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 2:290.69–0.05 | 0:560.01–0.01 | 3:100.69–0.16 | 1:220.05–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.01 | |||||
| Dahlin–Power | 2:050.22–0.00 | 0:540.22–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 2:490.22–0.00 | 1:160.13–0.05 | 0:500.08–0.02 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:270.00–0.26 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.05 | 1:570.00–0.26 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 0:580.00–0.06 | 1:030.00–0.00 | |||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||
| Dahlin–Kesselring | 0:500.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kesselring–Byram | 0:330.00–0.19 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Macklin CelebriniSJS | 22 | 24:25 | 1:07 | 2:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 23 | 22:49 | 1:00 | 1:55 | 6 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 22:25 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 2 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 21:40 | 0:52 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovSJS | 22 | 21:09 | 0:58 | 2:10 | 5 | 1 |
 Will SmithSJS | 20 | 20:49 | 1:02 | 2:15 | 4 | 0 |
 Mario FerraroSJS | 23 | 20:46 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 20:07 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 4 | 4 |
 Sam DickinsonSJS | 24 | 19:31 | 0:49 | 2:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Shakir MukhamadullinSJS | 21 | 17:59 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 John KlingbergSJS | 19 | 17:56 | 0:57 | 2:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Collin GrafSJS | 18 | 17:41 | 0:59 | 1:50 | 2 | 1 |
 Vincent DesharnaisSJS | 23 | 17:26 | 0:45 | 2:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander WennbergSJS | 21 | 17:12 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 5 | 5 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 17:02 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 6 | 2 |
 Kiefer SherwoodSJS | 21 | 16:29 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 William EklundSJS | 19 | 16:29 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 19 | 16:25 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 6 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 16:00 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 3 | 5 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 18 | 15:51 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler ToffoliSJS | 19 | 15:38 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 6 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 4 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 21 | 15:09 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 19 | 15:09 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 15:07 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Michael MisaSJS | 18 | 14:06 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 18 | 14:02 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 13:58 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam CarrickBUF | 18 | 13:33 | 0:45 | 1:55 | 2 | 5 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 20 | 12:56 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Philipp KurashevSJS | 18 | 12:29 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 15 | 11:31 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Adam GaudetteSJS | 15 | 10:55 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Barclay GoodrowSJS | 11 | 9:03 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Zack OstapchukSJS | 13 | 9:01 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 0 | 2 |