Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Anaheim Ducks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:01Viel: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Myers, Pezzetta, Benoit, Quillan · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, LaCombe
- P1 0:01Pezzetta: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Myers, Pezzetta, Benoit, Quillan · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, LaCombe
- P1 0:18Shot by Sennecke, saved by Woll
- P1 2:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Dostal
- P1 2:41Shot by Domi, saved by Dostal
- P1 2:56Shot by McTavish, saved by Woll
- P1 3:27Shot by Poehling, saved by Woll
- P1 4:24Shot by Cowan, saved by Dostal
- P1 5:27Shot by Gudas, saved by Woll
- P1 5:46Shot by Sennecke, saved by Woll
- P1 6:37Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll
- P1 7:19Goal by Maccelli, unassisted+14 pts WP
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Myers, Groulx, Robertson, Maccelli · ANA Trouba, Harkins, LaCombe, Moore, Washe
- P1 7:53Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Woll
- P1 8:19Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll
- P1 8:33Shot by Carlsson, saved by Woll
- P1 8:37Shot by Carlo, saved by Dostal
- P1 8:52Shot by Carlsson, saved by Woll
- P1 10:00Shot by Sennecke, saved by Woll
- P1 10:11Domi: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Knies · ANA Trouba, LaCombe, McTavish, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P1 12:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 12:19Goal by Gauthier (Kreider, LaCombe)+17 pts WP
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Quillan · ANA Kreider, LaCombe, Gauthier, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P1 12:39Shot by Cowan, saved by Dostal
- P1 13:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Woll
- P1 13:39Shot by Zellweger, saved by Woll
- P1 14:04Shot by Moore, saved by Woll
- P1 14:17Shot by Moore, saved by Woll
- P1 14:26Goal by Moore (Harkins)+16 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Domi, Myers, Benoit, Knies · ANA Harkins, Helleson, Moore, Mintyukov, Washe
- P1 14:43Shot by McCabe, saved by Dostal
- P1 14:45Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Maccelli · ANA Granlund, Trouba, LaCombe, McTavish, Sennecke
- P1 14:45Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Maccelli · ANA Granlund, Trouba, LaCombe, McTavish, Sennecke
- P1 14:45Trouba: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Maccelli · ANA Granlund, Trouba, LaCombe, McTavish, Sennecke
- P1 15:53Shot by Gauthier, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 17:12Shot by Granlund, saved by Woll
- P1 18:31Kreider: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Knies · ANA Kreider, Gudas, Zellweger, Gauthier, Carlsson
- P1 18:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal5v4
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:45Shot by McCabe, saved by Dostal
- P2 2:55Goal by Mintyukov (Poehling, Viel)+15 pts WP
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Myers, Pezzetta, Quillan · ANA Killorn, Viel, Poehling, Helleson, Mintyukov
- P2 3:30Shot by Moore, saved by Woll
- P2 5:38Shot by Domi, saved by Dostal
- P2 6:00Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dostal
- P2 6:57Myers: Tripping (2 min)5v6
On ice: TOR Myers, Benoit, Robertson, Maccelli, Quillan · ANA Killorn, Gudas, Viel, Poehling, Mintyukov, Carlsson
- P2 8:45Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll4v5
- P2 8:54Shot by Granlund, saved by Woll4v5
- P2 9:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
- P2 9:52Trouba: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Benoit, Cowan · ANA Granlund, Trouba, Moore, McTavish, Mintyukov
- P2 10:00Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dostal5v4
- P2 10:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Dostal5v4
- P2 10:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Dostal5v4
- P2 10:47Goal by Matthews (Knies, Nylander)5v4+15 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · ANA Killorn, Gudas, Poehling, Zellweger
- P2 11:22Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Woll
- P2 12:02Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll
- P2 15:47Gudas: Kneeing (5 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Cowan · ANA Gudas, Granlund, LaCombe, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P2 15:47Gudas: Game misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Cowan · ANA Gudas, Granlund, LaCombe, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P2 16:26Goal by Tavares (Maccelli, Knies)5v4+19 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Maccelli, Knies · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Poehling, Mintyukov
- P2 19:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Dostal5v4
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:20Shot by Killorn, saved by Woll5v4
- P3 0:36Goal by Nylander (Knies, Maccelli)5v4+31 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Maccelli, Knies · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Poehling, LaCombe
- P3 0:46Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Dostal5v4
- P3 0:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Dostal
- P3 1:14Kreider: Cross checking (2 min)6v5
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Robertson, Knies · ANA Kreider, Moore, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Carlsson
- P3 4:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Dostal
- P3 5:21Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Woll
- P3 6:02Shot by Washe, saved by Woll
- P3 6:37Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll
- P3 8:10Domi: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Knies, Cowan · ANA Granlund, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger, Sennecke
- P3 8:10Domi: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Knies, Cowan · ANA Granlund, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger, Sennecke
- P3 8:35Goal by Groulx (Carlo)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Carlo, Groulx · ANA Kreider, LaCombe, Gauthier, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P3 8:40Shot by Carlo, saved by Dostal4v5
- P3 9:11Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Woll4v5
- P3 10:36Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dostal
- P3 11:19Rielly: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, LaCombe
- P3 11:19Viel: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, LaCombe
- P3 12:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Woll4v4
- P3 13:36Cowan: Instigator (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Myers, Robertson, Cowan · ANA Kreider, Viel, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger
- P3 13:36Cowan: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Myers, Robertson, Cowan · ANA Kreider, Viel, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger
- P3 13:36LaCombe: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Myers, Robertson, Cowan · ANA Kreider, Viel, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger
- P3 13:36Cowan: Instigator misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Myers, Robertson, Cowan · ANA Kreider, Viel, LaCombe, McTavish, Zellweger
- P3 13:44Shot by Carlsson, saved by Woll4v5
- P3 14:10Shot by Sennecke, saved by Woll4v6
- P3 15:35Sennecke: Holding (2 min)4v6
On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Groulx, Benoit · ANA Kreider, Granlund, Trouba, McTavish, Gauthier, Sennecke
- P3 17:18Shot by McCabe, saved by Dostal5v4
- P3 17:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
- P3 17:50Shot by McTavish, saved by Woll
- P3 17:55Shot by Sennecke, saved by Woll5v6
- P3 17:57Shot by Granlund, saved by Woll5v6
- P3 18:12Goal by Knies (McCabe, Tavares)5v60 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Knies · ANA Kreider, Granlund, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Carlsson, Sennecke
- P3 19:34Goal by Killorn (Viel, Trouba)0 pts WP
On ice: TOR Myers, Groulx, Benoit, Robertson, Maccelli · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, Mintyukov
- P3 19:45Shot by Carlsson, saved by Woll5v6
- P3 19:55Shot by Trouba, saved by Woll5v6
- P3 0:00McCabe: Roughing (2 min)5v6
On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Knies · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, Gauthier, Carlsson
- P3 0:00Viel: Roughing (2 min)5v6
On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Knies · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, Gauthier, Carlsson
- P3 0:00Viel: Slashing (2 min)5v6
On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Knies · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Viel, Poehling, Gauthier, Carlsson
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final