Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Anaheim Ducks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 64% of the time.
29%
57%
TOR winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 25:05 | 0.00 | 71.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:43 | 0.29 | 68.1% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 21:48 | 0.54 | 73.9% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:27 | 1.08 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.34 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.38 | 97.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.69 | 96.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.40 | 98.3% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.36 | 81.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.06 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.09 | 77.6% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.04 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.14 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:18 | 0.24 | 53.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.04 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.07 | 71.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.00 | 61.5% | +15.9 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 3.07 | −1.9 | 57:12 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.59 | 39.5% | +45.7 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.57 | 33.9% | +65.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.32 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:04 | 0.82 | 32.3% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 10.6% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.15 | 24.0% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.12 | 39.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.24 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.22 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.16 | 34.0% | +64.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.29 | 43.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.07 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:15 | 0.27 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:43 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.78 | +0.8 | 59:27 |