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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Point, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 2:49Shot by Sabourin, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 4:16Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 6:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 8:37Shot by McDonagh, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 8:45Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 10:05Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 12:10Shot by Shine, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 13:43Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 14:19Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 15:58Shot by Girgensons, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 16:07Shot by Point, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 16:14Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Goncalves, Moser · DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, DeBrincat

  15. P1 19:47Kasper: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, D'Astous, Goncalves · DET Kane, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper, Finnie

  16. P1 19:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson5v4
  17. P1 19:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Gibson5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:49Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Perry)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · DET Chiarot, Faulk, Appleton, Dries

  21. P2 1:06Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P2 1:33Shot by Goncalves, saved by Gibson
  23. P2 4:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 4:57Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 5:06Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 6:43Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 7:44Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 9:44Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 10:25Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 10:32Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 11:21Shot by Hagel, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 11:49Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 12:28Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 13:05Shot by Dries, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 13:16Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 15:42Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 16:30Shot by Goncalves, saved by Gibson
  38. P2 16:41Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 17:50Shot by Gourde, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 17:58Shot by Moser, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 18:30Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 19:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gibson
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:35Goal by Goncalves (Point)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, DeBrincat

  46. P3 2:16Shot by Dries, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 2:54Shot by Shine, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 3:14Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 3:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gibson
  50. P3 5:07Shot by Hedman, saved by Gibson
  51. P3 5:09Shot by Holmberg, saved by Gibson
  52. P3 5:10Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 7:05Goal by Compher (DeBrincat, Kane)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, DeBrincat

  54. P3 7:18Shot by Goncalves, saved by Gibson
  55. P3 8:28Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gibson
  56. P3 9:55Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 13:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gibson
  58. P3 13:58Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gibson
  59. P3 16:22Goal by Goncalves (Point, Kucherov)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson

  60. P3 16:55Goal by Guentzel (Cirelli)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Faulk, Raymond, Kasper, Finnie

  61. P3 18:34Shot by Appleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final