Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
59%
8%
25%
TBL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.29 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:12 | 0.18 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.28 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.28 | 58.6% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.36 | 61.7% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.04 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.08 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.12 | 63.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.11 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.31 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.01 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 2.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.14 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 3.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.15 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:09 | 0.22 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.13 | +0.1 | 59:32 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:17 | 0.15 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.13 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.02 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.09 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:47 | 0.67 | 83.7% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.06 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.19 | 78.7% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.39 | 81.8% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.09 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:56 | 0.86 | 21.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.04 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.46 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 12.4% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:46 | 0.01 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.42 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:47 | 0.08 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |