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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53000−1225:110.2956.1%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #77000−1124:120.1856.5%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−1219:520.2844.0%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37101−1319:260.2858.6%+12.5
Patrick KaneRW · #88011−1419:190.3661.7%+12.5
Justin FaulkD · #72000−1119:110.0436.4%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000−1218:470.0835.1%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93011−1218:150.1263.3%+12.5
Marco KasperC · #92000−1118:070.1159.5%0.0
Emmitt FinnieC · #58000−1017:440.3151.5%0.0
Albert JohanssonD · #200000016:500.0041.8%0.0
Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #250000014:140.0042.4%0.0
Mason AppletonC · #220000113:360.013.8%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #270000112:580.002.6%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000−1111:520.1467.5%0.0
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW · #280000010:270.003.3%0.0
Sheldon DriesC · #150000210:160.1540.3%0.0
Dominik ShineRW · #65000029:090.2265.2%0.0
John Gibson#36L28253.8933.13+0.159:32

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darren RaddyshD · #43000+2224:170.1550.0%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #27000+2122:190.1352.4%0.0
J.J. MoserD · #900000121:090.0240.9%0.0
Victor HedmanD · #770000218:540.0942.4%0.0
Gage GoncalvesC · #93202+2518:470.6783.7%+21.7
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #510000018:410.0671.1%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #86022+2318:330.1978.7%+27.2
Brayden PointC · #21022+2218:130.3981.8%+21.7
Brandon HagelLW · #380000117:070.0930.8%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #592020515:560.8621.0%+19.8
Anthony CirelliC · #710110015:330.0028.5%+1.0
Yanni GourdeC · #370000115:250.0478.0%0.0
Declan CarlileD · #670000013:520.0082.8%0.0
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #220000313:380.4678.0%0.0
Corey PerryRW · #100110012:210.0012.4%+18.8
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000111:460.0114.3%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000111:420.4281.7%0.0
Scott SabourinRW · #46000019:470.0820.4%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W25241.9602.56+1.660:00