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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kane–Compher–DeBrincatRaymond–Kasper–FinnieAppleton–Rasmussen–Brandsegg-Nygårdvan Riemsdyk–Shine–Driesvan Riemsdyk–Appleton–RasmussenShine–Dries–Brandsegg-Nygårdvan Riemsdyk–Dries–RaymondAppleton–Shine–RasmussenSeider–EdvinssonChiarot–FaulkBernard-Docker–JohanssonJohansson–Edvinsson
Kucherov–Point–Goncalves5:200.61–0.072:230.00–0.062:190.47–0.000:550.00–0.000:410.12–0.003:590.34–0.076:090.88–0.011:580.12–0.06
Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel4:540.00–0.585:210.28–0.240:350.00–0.025:080.07–0.554:480.21–0.151:160.00–0.15
Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg0:430.00–0.042:400.20–0.031:420.26–0.001:070.00–0.141:240.17–0.001:060.17–0.003:590.49–0.030:570.14–0.046:030.37–0.15
Perry–Girgensons–Sabourin0:570.00–0.191:210.00–0.000:550.01–0.000:530.00–0.201:360.00–0.013:310.01–0.411:290.00–0.202:270.09–0.000:410.01–0.00
Guentzel–Point–Goncalves0:380.00–0.030:550.00–0.03
McDonagh–Raddysh9:070.48–0.433:170.03–0.472:400.47–0.020:550.00–0.330:420.12–0.006:500.36–0.438:010.78–0.483:020.12–0.34
Hedman–Moser4:380.23–0.633:480.08–0.032:130.23–0.000:570.00–0.001:100.00–0.000:330.04–0.009:010.39–0.703:010.15–0.153:040.04–0.000:330.01–0.00
D'Astous–Carlile0:420.00–0.045:370.32–0.111:360.05–0.001:150.00–0.003:240.35–0.052:590.25–0.044:450.15–0.07
Raddysh–D'Astous1:140.00–0.031:320.00–0.03
D'Astous–Moser0:300.05–0.050:420.00–0.21
McDonagh–D'Astous1:180.17–0.001:160.17–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagel FGuentzel FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FGoncalves FGourde FHolmberg FBjorkstrand FPerry FSabourin FGirgensons FHedman DMoser DRaddysh DMcDonagh DD'Astous DCarlile DVasilevskiy GRaymond FFinnie FKasper FKane FCompher FDeBrincat FBrandsegg-Nygård FAppleton FRasmussen Fvan Riemsdyk FShine FDries FSeider DEdvinsson DChiarot DFaulk DJohansson DBernard-Docker DGibson G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2525:111:001:5243
Darren RaddyshTBL1924:171:174:0741
Simon EdvinssonDET2424:121:011:5933
Ryan McDonaghTBL2222:211:013:5252
J.J. MoserTBL2321:090:551:4802
Lucas RaymondDET2119:520:572:1460
J.T. CompherDET2219:260:531:2226
Patrick KaneDET2119:190:551:5415
Justin FaulkDET2519:110:461:2334
Victor HedmanTBL2518:540:451:0413
Gage GoncalvesTBL2318:470:491:3280
Ben ChiarotDET2518:470:451:2444
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2018:410:561:3501
Nikita KucherovTBL2318:330:481:3391
Alex DeBrincatDET2018:150:551:4225
Brayden PointTBL2218:130:501:2281
Marco KasperDET2118:070:521:5040
Emmitt FinnieDET2117:440:511:1440
Brandon HagelTBL2017:070:512:0542
Albert JohanssonDET1716:500:591:5410
Jake GuentzelTBL1915:560:502:0541
Anthony CirelliTBL2115:330:442:0544
Yanni GourdeTBL1915:250:491:1704
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET1714:140:501:5510
Declan CarlileTBL1713:520:491:1301
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1513:380:551:2503
Mason AppletonDET1813:360:451:0911
Michael RasmussenDET1812:580:431:0712
Corey PerryTBL1412:210:533:0010
James van RiemsdykDET1611:520:451:1011
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1411:460:503:1400
Pontus HolmbergTBL1511:420:471:1703
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET1210:270:521:2500
Sheldon DriesDET1510:160:411:0611
Scott SabourinTBL139:470:452:3400
Dominik ShineDET129:090:461:1722