Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
10%
29%
MIN winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:15 | 0.16 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:23 | 0.04 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.01 | 31.3% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.07 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.10 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.26 | 46.5% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:25 | 0.34 | 43.1% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.11 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.25 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.10 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.01 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.09 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.28 | 57.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.09 | 50.4% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.20 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.73 | +0.7 | 64:33 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 27:57 | 0.09 | 74.5% | +44.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:14 | 0.11 | 73.5% | +29.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:52 | 0.34 | 59.0% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:47 | 0.41 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.18 | 60.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.23 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.42 | 58.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.24 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.25 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.19 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.08 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.02 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.14 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 64:52 |