Thu, Mar 12, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
9%
28%
VGK winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 26:26 | 0.14 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.11 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.02 | 62.1% | +13.5 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.34 | 69.9% | +13.5 |
 Egor ChinakhovRW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.37 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 57.9% | +27.0 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.08 | 41.9% | +13.5 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.20 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 Ville KoivunenRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.14 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.13 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.27 | 91.4% | +13.5 |
 Elmer SoderblomLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 97.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya SolovyovD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.01 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.08 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 |
 Avery HayesRW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 9:31 | 0.45 | 73.7% | 0.0 |
 Arturs Silovs#37 | L | 16 | 11 | 5 | .688 | 1.66 | −3.3 | 53:02 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:39 | 0.37 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.29 | 59.4% | +4.2 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.93 | 63.4% | +4.2 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.04 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.46 | 50.5% | +26.8 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.14 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.33 | 58.5% | +40.3 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 47.9% | +4.2 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.17 | 42.1% | +14.8 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 42.7% | +13.5 |
 Nic DowdC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.21 | 13.0% | 0.0 |
 Cole SmithRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.17 | 54.2% | +28.4 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.01 | 3.3% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.35 | +0.3 | 60:00 |