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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Vegas Golden Knights 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 63% of the time.

VGK winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Rust–Rakell–ChinakhovMantha–Novak–KoivunenSoderblom–Hayes–KindelAcciari–Dewar–LizotteMantha–Koivunen–KindelKarlsson–WotherspoonLetang–SheaClifton–SolovyovWotherspoon–SheaKarlsson–SolovyovClifton–SheaLetang–SolovyovLetang–Wotherspoon
Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev1:320.00–0.124:200.36–0.240:540.21–0.000:500.00–0.024:190.36–0.161:300.12–0.033:090.21–0.39
Stone–Barbashev–Eichel4:120.09–0.070:550.00–0.052:300.09–0.003:140.02–0.003:100.16–0.121:120.00–0.030:310.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Dowd–Kolesar–Smith0:530.01–0.003:290.00–0.031:370.00–0.080:320.00–0.001:210.00–0.002:220.00–0.032:340.00–0.200:440.00–0.00
Sissons–Howden–Bowman4:320.01–0.231:130.15–0.001:020.02–0.020:440.00–0.002:250.16–0.002:490.00–0.131:110.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson2:590.00–0.223:370.28–0.011:410.02–0.002:530.00–0.080:330.00–0.024:520.27–0.003:180.12–0.103:050.00–0.150:410.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
McNabb–Theodore6:230.05–0.210:530.13–0.002:090.00–0.001:310.09–0.000:350.00–0.004:050.16–0.084:480.11–0.132:000.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Lauzon–Korczak0:490.14–0.003:040.11–0.232:190.00–0.050:590.21–0.000:460.00–0.092:480.20–0.102:380.05–0.124:080.30–0.450:350.00–0.020:400.00–0.00
Theodore–Hanifin0:310.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
McNabb–Korczak
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FKolesar FDowd FStone FBarbashev FEichel FDorofeyev FHertl FMarner FSissons FBowman FHowden FAndersson DHanifin DMcNabb DTheodore DLauzon DKorczak DHill GDewar FLizotte FAcciari FChinakhov FRust FRakell FNovak FMantha FKoivunen FSoderblom FKindel FHayes FWotherspoon DKarlsson DLetang DShea DClifton DSolovyov DSilovs G
VGKPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT2226:261:123:5851
Kris LetangPIT2023:511:123:4460
Brayden McNabbVGK2623:390:552:0526
Bryan RustPIT2222:041:001:5691
Rickard RakellPIT2020:481:022:0180
Noah HanifinVGK2920:430:431:1246
Egor ChinakhovPIT2020:321:021:5970
Shea TheodoreVGK2820:140:431:5316
Jack EichelVGK2219:510:542:0543
Ryan SheaPIT1919:161:011:2432
Rasmus AnderssonVGK2718:580:421:1337
Parker WotherspoonPIT1818:421:021:2411
Anthony ManthaPIT2018:080:541:3031
Mark StoneVGK2117:520:512:0531
Mitch MarnerVGK2217:470:492:5462
Tomas HertlVGK2017:070:513:1752
Tommy NovakPIT1916:430:531:5832
Jeremy LauzonVGK2216:410:462:1412
Brett HowdenVGK2015:590:481:4528
Pavel DorofeyevVGK1915:320:492:5752
Connor CliftonPIT1715:060:531:3400
Ville KoivunenPIT2014:470:441:1060
Noel AcciariPIT2014:030:421:4745
Ben KindelPIT1813:520:461:1741
Ivan BarbashevVGK1713:470:491:1621
Elmer SoderblomPIT1513:080:531:1310
Colton SissonsVGK1812:570:431:2018
Ilya SolovyovPIT1712:550:461:2501
Kaedan KorczakVGK2112:510:371:1600
Nic DowdVGK1812:440:421:3104
Cole SmithVGK1812:350:421:1004
Braeden BowmanVGK2011:320:351:0926
Keegan KolesarVGK1611:110:421:1503
Connor DewarPIT1710:450:380:5914
Blake LizottePIT1610:210:391:2423
Avery HayesPIT129:310:481:1700