Sat, Mar 14, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 66% of the time.
58%
8%
26%
UTA winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 26:50 | 0.14 | 36.0% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 37.8% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.26 | 28.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.19 | 35.8% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.06 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.25 | 31.5% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:09 | 0.37 | 73.7% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.21 | 17.2% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.06 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.34 | 71.0% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.06 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.51 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 82.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.44 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:07 | 0.19 | 92.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:25 | 0.71 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.05 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:18 | 0.62 | 43.8% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:13 | 0.22 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.26 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.09 | 76.5% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.06 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.36 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.20 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.10 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.03 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.20 | 77.5% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.14 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:21 | 0.14 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.08 | 92.3% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.49 | −1.5 | 57:30 |