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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 15, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 80% of the time.

MIN winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Wallstedt
  3. P1 2:38Shot by Hughes, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 4:06Shot by Brodin, saved by Stolarz
  5. P1 5:39Shot by Faber, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 6:06Shot by Stecher, saved by Wallstedt
  7. P1 6:32Shot by Carlo, saved by Wallstedt
  8. P1 7:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Wallstedt
  9. P1 8:29Shot by Sturm, saved by Stolarz
  10. P1 10:04Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 10:21Shot by Boldy, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 13:46Shot by Trenin, saved by Stolarz
  13. P1 15:37Shot by Middleton, saved by Stolarz
  14. P1 16:41Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Wallstedt
  15. P1 16:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Stolarz
  16. P1 19:53Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:45Shot by Maccelli, saved by Wallstedt
  20. P2 1:07Goal by Rielly (Maccelli, Tavares)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Spurgeon, Brodin, McCarron, Sturm · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Maccelli

  21. P2 2:05Shot by Petry, saved by Stolarz
  22. P2 2:19Goal by Groulx (Stecher, Robertson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Petry, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov · TOR Joshua, Stecher, Groulx, Benoit, Robertson

  23. P2 4:06Shot by Nylander, saved by Wallstedt
  24. P2 4:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Wallstedt
  25. P2 4:47Shot by Faber, saved by Stolarz
  26. P2 5:15Shot by Joshua, saved by Wallstedt
  27. P2 5:34Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz
  28. P2 6:30Shot by Brodin, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 7:49Shot by McCabe, saved by Wallstedt
  30. P2 7:59Shot by Boldy, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 8:18Goal by Groulx, unassisted+9 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Groulx, Maccelli

  32. P2 8:22Shot by Robertson, saved by Wallstedt
  33. P2 8:56Shot by Trenin, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 9:29Jarnkrok: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber, Yurov · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Carlo, Lorentz, Quillan

  35. P2 9:35Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz5v4
  36. P2 10:53Shot by Boldy, saved by Stolarz5v4
  37. P2 11:35Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 14:13Zuccarello: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber · TOR McCabe, Carlo, Groulx, Robertson, Knies

  39. P2 14:13Carlo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber · TOR McCabe, Carlo, Groulx, Robertson, Knies

  40. P2 14:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Wallstedt4v4
  41. P2 15:05McCabe: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher

  42. P2 15:05Kaprizov: Embellishment (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher

  43. P2 15:44Shot by Hartman, saved by Stolarz4v4
  44. P2 16:34Shot by Stecher, saved by Wallstedt
  45. P2 17:18Trenin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Petry, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Knies, Cowan

  46. P2 17:23Shot by Knies, saved by Wallstedt4v5
  47. P2 18:11Shot by Johansson, saved by Stolarz4v5
  48. P2 19:05Shot by Joshua, saved by Wallstedt4v5
  49. P2 19:09Shot by Myers, saved by Wallstedt4v5
  50. P2 19:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Wallstedt
  51. P2 19:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Wallstedt
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 3:37Shot by Trenin, saved by Stolarz
  55. P3 3:40Shot by McCarron, saved by Stolarz
  56. P3 4:51Goal by Tarasenko (Zuccarello, Hartman)+6 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Petry, Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Hartman, Middleton · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Stecher, Benoit, Maccelli

  57. P3 5:14Goal by Tarasenko (Hartman, Zuccarello)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Petry, Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Hartman, Middleton · TOR Rielly, Joshua, Myers, Groulx, Robertson

  58. P3 5:51Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Stolarz
  59. P3 7:55Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz
  60. P3 8:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz
  61. P3 9:00Shot by Stecher, saved by Wallstedt
  62. P3 9:02Shot by Maccelli, saved by Wallstedt
  63. P3 9:48Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 11:16Shot by Robertson, saved by Wallstedt
  65. P3 11:22Robertson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Brodin, McCarron, Yurov · TOR Rielly, Joshua, Myers, Groulx, Robertson

  66. P3 11:47Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Stolarz5v4
  67. P3 13:12Shot by Hughes, saved by Stolarz5v4
  68. P3 14:18Shot by Hartman, saved by Stolarz
  69. P3 15:34Shot by Hartman, saved by Stolarz
  70. P3 15:55Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz
  71. P3 16:16Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Wallstedt
  72. P3 16:25Shot by Hartman, saved by Stolarz
  73. P3 16:35Shot by Boldy, saved by Stolarz
  74. P3 16:37Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Stolarz
  75. P3 18:14Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Stolarz
  76. P3 19:23Goal by Knies, unassisted6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy · TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Groulx, Knies

  77. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  78. P3 0:00Final6v5