Sun, Mar 15, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
MIN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 26:49 | 0.03 | 10.8% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:07 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.80 | 10.7% | +5.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.39 | 34.8% | +16.7 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.16 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.15 | 36.5% | +16.7 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 52.9% | +15.1 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.12 | 15.7% | +24.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.18 | 47.9% | +16.7 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.05 | 13.4% | +15.1 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.17 | 13.7% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.22 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.64 | +1.6 | 58:05 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Quinn HughesD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 31:17 | 0.13 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Brock FaberD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.16 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Kirill KaprizovLW · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.37 | 85.9% | 0.0 |
 Mats ZuccarelloRW · #36 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:35 | 0.72 | 92.3% | +22.1 |
 Matt BoldyLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.36 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonas BrodinD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.04 | 79.6% | 0.0 |
 Joel Eriksson EkC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:47 | 0.99 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Jared SpurgeonD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #91 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.40 | 89.8% | +22.1 |
 Ryan HartmanRW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:52 | 0.39 | 92.2% | +22.1 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.06 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Danila YurovRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 75.4% | 0.0 |
 Yakov TreninC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:24 | 0.41 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake MiddletonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.09 | 79.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Jeff PetryD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.01 | 87.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael McCarronC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:20 | 0.16 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Nico SturmC · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Jesper Wallstedt#30 | L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.75 | −1.2 | 58:26 |