Sun, Mar 15, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
MIN winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | Domi–Knies–Cowan | Joshua–Groulx–Robertson | Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Quillan | Tavares–Knies–Cowan | Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Groulx | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | McCabe–Carlo | Rielly–Myers | Stecher–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuccarello–Hartman–Kaprizov | 3:520.06–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:170.60–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 5:070.62–0.00 | 2:050.23–0.09 | 1:220.04–0.00 | |||
| Tarasenko–Trenin–Yurov | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 2:000.09–0.07 | 2:040.12–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:020.26–0.01 | 3:000.04–0.10 | |||
| Johansson–Eriksson Ek–Boldy | 0:310.09–0.03 | 4:320.24–0.00 | 3:180.14–0.03 | 1:450.19–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||
| Foligno–McCarron–Sturm | 1:550.14–0.20 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:370.04–0.02 | 0:330.03–0.21 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.07 | 1:480.04–0.32 | |||
| Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy | 2:050.03–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:340.18–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Zuccarello–Tarasenko–Hartman | 0:370.43–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:510.20–0.03 | 1:530.41–0.04 | 0:330.05–0.00 | |||||
| Foligno–Trenin–Yurov | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hughes–Faber | 3:030.36–0.07 | 5:050.07–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.03 | 2:080.12–0.25 | 1:020.13–0.00 | 0:540.06–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 9:590.57–0.04 | 3:480.23–0.12 | 4:430.00–0.28 |
| Spurgeon–Brodin | 5:350.06–0.16 | 2:530.19–0.00 | 2:110.24–0.08 | 0:550.20–0.00 | 5:380.36–0.03 | 4:490.47–0.12 | 2:430.06–0.09 | |||
| Petry–Middleton | 1:580.34–0.09 | 0:590.03–0.00 | 3:210.68–0.05 | 1:380.02–0.00 | 1:550.43–0.00 | 2:290.23–0.05 | 2:440.28–0.05 | |||
| Brodin–Hughes | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Middleton–Hughes | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MINTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Quinn HughesMIN | 26 | 31:17 | 1:12 | 2:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 31 | 26:49 | 0:52 | 2:38 | 2 | 6 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 32 | 25:07 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 3 | 5 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 27 | 23:30 | 0:52 | 2:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 19 | 22:41 | 1:12 | 2:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 19 | 21:35 | 1:08 | 2:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 20 | 20:47 | 1:02 | 1:48 | 1 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 19:49 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 19 | 19:28 | 1:01 | 2:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 21 | 19:18 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 19 | 18:47 | 0:59 | 2:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 21 | 18:02 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:42 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 17:38 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 26 | 17:28 | 0:40 | 1:40 | 6 | 1 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 24 | 17:13 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Bo GroulxTOR | 21 | 17:03 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 1 | 4 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoMIN | 19 | 16:55 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 5 | 0 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 18 | 16:52 | 0:56 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 17 | 16:39 | 0:59 | 1:36 | 0 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 19 | 15:26 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 22 | 14:46 | 0:40 | 1:34 | 0 | 2 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 18 | 14:19 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 17 | 13:41 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 1 | 2 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 16 | 13:13 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Danila YurovMIN | 14 | 12:48 | 0:55 | 1:11 | 5 | 0 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 14 | 12:24 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 16 | 12:11 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 15 | 11:51 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 0 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoMIN | 14 | 11:10 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 10:54 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 0 | 3 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 18 | 10:22 | 0:35 | 0:56 | 0 | 4 |
 Jeff PetryMIN | 14 | 10:14 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael McCarronMIN | 12 | 9:20 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 13 | 8:21 | 0:39 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Nico SturmMIN | 10 | 7:49 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 0 | 2 |