Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 69% of the time.
61%
8%
9%
22%
COL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:39 | 0.00 | 14.2% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.08 | 48.6% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.09 | 48.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.06 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.22 | 21.6% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.19 | 39.9% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.40 | 64.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.33 | 41.6% | +2.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.30 | 28.8% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.08 | 64.4% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.02 | 94.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.13 | 47.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.06 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.07 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.23 | 56.6% | +9.8 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.43 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:08 | 0.31 | 50.7% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:40 | 0.35 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:39 | 0.21 | 44.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:31 | 0.23 | 74.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.23 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:16 | 1.09 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.06 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.11 | 56.5% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.20 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:18 | 0.19 | 78.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.08 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.10 | 49.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.23 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.61 | −2.4 | 47:00 | |
| L | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 0.65 | −2.4 | 13:00 |