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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 69% of the time.

COL winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Ryan SheaD · #5011+1023:390.0014.2%+8.5
Erik KarlssonD · #65123+2421:440.0848.6%+33.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28011+2020:480.0948.9%+13.7
Kris LetangD · #580000120:140.0627.2%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #590110117:090.2221.6%+13.7
Bryan RustRW · #17112+1317:050.1939.9%+17.5
Noel AcciariC · #55112+3216:360.4064.4%+15.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67011+1116:230.3341.6%+2.7
Evgeni MalkinC · #71213+1316:180.3028.8%+31.2
Connor DewarC · #19022+3116:120.0864.4%+9.8
Connor CliftonD · #75000+2016:070.0294.7%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #180000015:290.0037.6%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #391010114:570.1347.9%+14.9
Ben KindelC · #810000013:570.009.8%0.0
Ilya SolovyovD · #7000+1113:210.0664.6%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #160000111:520.0715.0%0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #410000010:090.0022.9%0.0
Elmer SoderblomLW · #25112+3110:000.2356.6%+9.8
Arturs Silovs#37W27252.9263.43+1.460:00

Colorado Avalanche

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Martin NecasC · #88011−1224:080.3150.7%+14.8
Valeri NichushkinRW · #13000−2022:400.3546.0%0.0
Nathan MacKinnonC · #29101−1422:390.2144.5%+14.8
Cale MakarD · #8011−1421:310.2374.8%+14.8
Nazem KadriC · #910000220:180.2386.7%0.0
Brock NelsonC · #11000−1320:161.0978.5%0.0
Devon ToewsD · #7000−2117:350.0665.6%0.0
Brett KulakD · #27000−1016:450.0068.7%0.0
Josh MansonD · #42011−1116:430.1156.5%+9.3
Nicolas RoyC · #10000−2215:280.2086.9%0.0
Brent BurnsD · #841010515:180.1978.0%+9.3
Sam MalinskiD · #70000−1215:000.0845.0%0.0
Parker KellyC · #170000013:450.0063.1%0.0
Jack DruryC · #18000−1113:310.0552.4%0.0
Nick BlankenburgD · #37000−2011:100.0027.7%0.0
Gavin BrindleyC · #54011−1010:200.1049.0%+9.3
Joel KivirantaLW · #94000−1010:030.0042.9%0.0
Zakhar BardakovC · #93000−208:100.2344.9%0.0
Mackenzie Blackwood#39–15114.7331.61−2.447:00
Scott Wedgewood#41L523.4000.65−2.413:00