Tue, Mar 17, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Buffalo Sabres 2, Vegas Golden Knights 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.
49%
8%
9%
33%
VGK winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.19 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.08 | 43.2% | +5.6 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:41 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.02 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.17 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:17 | 0.44 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.09 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.29 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.08 | 13.3% | 0.0 |
 Sam CarrickC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:30 | 0.13 | 77.1% | +16.3 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 13:28 | 1.21 | 83.7% | +5.6 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.05 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.01 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 74.1% | +5.6 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.09 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | W | 29 | 29 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.32 | +3.3 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.24 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.22 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.17 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.03 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.09 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.71 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:37 | 0.23 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.54 | 79.8% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.20 | 77.6% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.07 | 86.9% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.07 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.32 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.08 | 71.8% | 0.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.14 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 86.0% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.11 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.05 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Cole SmithRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.06 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | L | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.11 | +1.1 | 59:29 |