Tue, Mar 17, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Buffalo Sabres 2, Vegas Golden Knights 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.
49%
8%
9%
33%
VGK winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thompson–Ostlund–Benson | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Carrick–Malenstyn–Kozak | Norris–Krebs–Doan | Thompson–Krebs–Ostlund | Zucker–Carrick–Quinn | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Stanley–Metsa | Dahlin–Metsa | Samuelsson–Byram | Dahlin–Power | Stanley–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sissons–Howden–Bowman | 3:180.24–0.12 | 1:410.11–0.00 | 2:370.32–0.15 | 1:390.27–0.03 | 2:550.20–0.01 | 3:460.16–0.09 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev | 1:520.10–0.00 | 3:500.51–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:170.08–0.24 | 4:230.44–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.04 | 2:110.08–0.20 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 0:330.13–0.00 | ||||
| Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | 3:290.19–0.34 | 2:320.05–0.07 | 2:280.03–0.29 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:390.05–0.16 | 3:020.15–0.26 | 1:440.07–0.03 | ||||||
| Dowd–Kolesar–Smith | 1:150.16–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.08 | 2:360.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.08 | 3:160.16–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.15 | |||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 6:530.44–0.33 | 3:040.14–0.07 | 1:020.04–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.20 | 1:020.22–0.00 | 5:100.04–0.07 | 5:570.42–0.28 | 1:460.22–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.31 | ||||
| Hanifin–Andersson | 2:230.20–0.12 | 3:180.29–0.00 | 2:570.14–0.15 | 3:230.14–0.33 | 4:460.12–0.11 | 4:040.25–0.06 | 3:510.15–0.28 | ||||||
| Lauzon–Korczak | 1:250.01–0.03 | 3:210.36–0.08 | 3:100.21–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 4:250.63–0.08 | 2:580.01–0.00 | 3:450.05–0.04 | 0:580.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 22:51 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 21 | 22:23 | 1:04 | 2:28 | 6 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 22:20 | 0:54 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 21:41 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 3 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 26 | 21:31 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 3 | 9 |
 Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 28 | 21:15 | 0:46 | 2:19 | 9 | 5 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 29 | 20:37 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Noah HanifinVGK | 27 | 20:23 | 0:45 | 2:20 | 9 | 6 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 21 | 20:06 | 0:57 | 1:49 | 9 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 19:21 | 0:50 | 2:24 | 6 | 1 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 20 | 19:10 | 0:58 | 1:54 | 9 | 1 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 30 | 18:37 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 18 | 17:39 | 0:59 | 2:21 | 6 | 2 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 18 | 17:18 | 0:58 | 2:20 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 16:58 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 4 | 5 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 20 | 16:18 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 3 | 7 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 5 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 20 | 15:40 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 19 | 14:55 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 4 | 3 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 19 | 14:31 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 6 | 1 |
 Braeden BowmanVGK | 20 | 14:04 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Brett HowdenVGK | 19 | 13:56 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Colton SissonsVGK | 17 | 13:49 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 1 | 4 |
 Sam CarrickBUF | 22 | 13:40 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 1 | 7 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 13:30 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 7 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 19 | 13:28 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 7 | 5 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 19 | 13:03 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 20 | 12:30 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 1 | 6 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Nic DowdVGK | 16 | 11:17 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 0 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 11:10 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 4 | 4 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 18 | 11:10 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 1 | 6 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Cole SmithVGK | 16 | 10:03 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 1 | 4 |