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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6 (OT)

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 0:17Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 0:35Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 0:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:10Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:26Shot by Soderblom, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:28Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 5:32Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 6:24Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 9:24Jankowski: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Carrier, Walker, Robinson, Miller · PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom

  13. P1 9:34Goal by Martinook (Staal, Slavin)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell

  14. P1 10:10Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner4v5
  15. P1 10:54Shot by Martinook, saved by Skinner4v5
  16. P1 11:46Shot by Hall, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 12:04Shot by Blake, saved by Skinner
  18. P1 13:38Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  19. P1 14:05Shot by Slavin, saved by Skinner
  20. P1 14:10Shot by Nikishin, saved by Skinner
  21. P1 16:01Shot by Slavin, saved by Skinner
  22. P1 16:24Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 17:08Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 17:09Shot by Dewar, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 17:10Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 17:16Shot by Dewar, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 17:51Shot by Stankoven, saved by Skinner
  28. P1 19:57Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner
  29. P1 19:59Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 2:09Shot by Stankoven, saved by Skinner
  33. P2 2:18Shot by Reilly, saved by Skinner
  34. P2 2:21Shot by Robinson, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 4:24Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  36. P2 4:26Shot by Martinook, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 6:08Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  38. P2 6:42Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner
  39. P2 8:17Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 8:29Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  41. P2 9:27Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 9:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 9:57Goal by Crosby (Rakell, Karlsson)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  44. P2 10:58Shot by Blake, saved by Skinner
  45. P2 11:25Shot by Dewar, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 11:55Miller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller · PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Solovyov, Chinakhov

  47. P2 13:13Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner4v5
  48. P2 14:47Wotherspoon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Reilly, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · PIT Wotherspoon, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Soderblom

  49. P2 15:06Shot by Nikishin, saved by Skinner5v4
  50. P2 16:51Goal by Blake (Hall, Ehlers)+29 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Ehlers, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · PIT Crosby, Letang, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Solovyov

  51. P2 17:18Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner
  52. P2 19:15Shot by Rakell, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:28Svechnikov: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  54. P2 19:28Svechnikov: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  55. P2 19:28Crosby: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  56. P2 19:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen4v5
  57. P2 19:56Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:27Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen4v5
  61. P3 0:29Staal: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha

  62. P3 0:59Goal by Karlsson (Rakell, Malkin)3v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Slavin, Chatfield · PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha

  63. P3 2:20Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen4v5
  64. P3 2:48Shot by Stankoven, saved by Skinner
  65. P3 3:27Goal by Hall (Blake, Stankoven)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Reilly, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · PIT Letang, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Soderblom

  66. P3 7:16Goal by Rust, unassisted+35 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  67. P3 7:33Shot by Ehlers, saved by Skinner
  68. P3 8:09Shot by Novak, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 8:38Shot by Brazeau, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 9:11Shot by Reilly, saved by Skinner
  71. P3 10:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 10:59Shot by Martinook, saved by Skinner
  73. P3 11:02Shot by Nikishin, saved by Skinner
  74. P3 12:17Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  75. P3 12:59Goal by Stankoven (Ehlers, Blake)5v4+35 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Ehlers, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar

  76. P3 13:32Shot by Walker, saved by Skinner
  77. P3 13:55Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner
  78. P3 14:46Goal by Karlsson (Wotherspoon, Crosby)+42 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon

  79. P3 15:09Goal by Kindel (Mantha, Solovyov)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Reilly, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · PIT Clifton, Mantha, Brazeau, Solovyov, Kindel

  80. P3 15:34Shot by Jankowski, saved by Skinner
  81. P3 16:43Shot by Brazeau, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 16:58Shot by Stankoven, saved by Skinner
  83. P3 17:09Goal by Miller (Walker, Ehlers)+34 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller, Stankoven · PIT Karlsson, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel

  84. P3 17:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  85. P3 17:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  86. P3 18:03Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  87. P3 18:37Shot by Hall, saved by Skinner
  88. P3 19:16Shot by Martinook, saved by Skinner
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. OT 0:00Period start
  91. OT 2:14Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen3v3
  92. OT 2:25Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Andersen3v3
  93. OT 4:12Shot by Kindel, saved by Andersen3v3
  94. OT 4:31Goal by Walker (Aho, Jarvis)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Jarvis · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Mantha

  95. OT 4:31Period end3v3
  96. OT 4:31Final4v4