Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
52%
34%
CAR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:28 | 0.09 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24:02 | 0.30 | 47.0% | +96.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 16.0% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.03 | 46.7% | +54.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 53.2% | +42.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:33 | 0.66 | 48.2% | +35.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:33 | 0.37 | 43.4% | +66.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.10 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.19 | 35.7% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.32 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.31 | 33.0% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 13:18 | 0.80 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.59 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 55.9% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.01 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.24 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 38 | 6 | .864 | 4.55 | −1.4 | 64:31 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 25:19 | 0.05 | 72.2% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.03 | 48.4% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 22:17 | 0.29 | 87.0% | +85.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 20:56 | 0.60 | 62.7% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 20:03 | 0.60 | 48.3% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.33 | 54.7% | +96.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.09 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:00 | 0.34 | 82.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.06 | 75.6% | +98.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:38 | 0.55 | 76.6% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.19 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.34 | 56.8% | +61.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 15:19 | 0.62 | 54.7% | +67.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.06 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.24 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:55 | 0.15 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:51 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 3.99 | −1.0 | 64:31 |