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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 18, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malkin–Novak–ChinakhovCrosby–Rust–RakellMantha–Brazeau–KindelAcciari–Dewar–SoderblomLetang–SheaKarlsson–WotherspoonClifton–SolovyovClifton–WotherspoonLetang–Wotherspoon
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis9:490.50–0.440:320.30–0.001:360.30–0.009:440.50–0.550:420.11–0.000:350.00–0.00
Hall–Stankoven–Blake0:300.00–0.007:280.65–0.192:100.16–0.624:250.58–0.000:580.00–0.044:540.31–0.38
Staal–Martinook–Ehlers10:070.84–0.220:380.00–0.006:270.41–0.220:470.00–0.003:250.35–0.00
Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson4:390.42–0.222:100.22–0.002:030.19–0.050:440.01–0.17
Walker–Miller8:080.86–0.062:060.09–0.001:230.30–0.003:100.48–0.109:391.37–0.063:140.22–0.103:520.45–0.00
Slavin–Chatfield2:340.08–0.168:230.46–0.511:190.11–0.002:170.00–0.168:250.46–0.562:280.13–0.000:300.07–0.00
Reilly–Nikishin5:510.29–0.354:340.30–0.764:120.21–0.162:260.19–0.044:260.19–0.90
Slavin–Miller0:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FMartinook FStaal FEhlers FBlake FHall FStankoven FCarrier FRobinson FJankowski FChatfield DSlavin DMiller DWalker DReilly DNikishin DAndersen GRust FRakell FCrosby FChinakhov FMalkin FNovak FMantha FBrazeau FKindel FDewar FAcciari FSoderblom FWotherspoon DKarlsson DShea DLetang DSolovyov DClifton DSkinner G
CARPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2925:280:531:2915
K'Andre MillerCAR3025:190:511:2921
Erik KarlssonPIT3024:020:481:3544
Jaccob SlavinCAR3123:520:461:5535
Sean WalkerCAR2922:170:461:2811
Ryan SheaPIT2321:590:572:2114
Evgeni MalkinPIT2421:430:541:4231
Sebastian AhoCAR2620:560:481:2731
Rickard RakellPIT2620:460:481:2142
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2920:430:431:2634
Seth JarvisCAR2520:030:481:2721
Parker WotherspoonPIT2618:540:441:3614
Bryan RustPIT2618:330:431:2143
Sidney CrosbyPIT2618:330:431:1553
Jackson BlakeCAR2118:060:521:2521
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2118:020:521:3131
Jordan StaalCAR2618:000:421:2142
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1917:500:561:4010
Tommy NovakPIT2217:440:481:3512
Anthony ManthaPIT2217:240:471:2821
Egor ChinakhovPIT2216:490:461:2010
Jordan MartinookCAR2216:380:451:1212
Alexander NikishinCAR1916:200:522:1851
Taylor HallCAR2015:380:471:1531
Logan StankovenCAR2115:190:441:1830
Ben KindelPIT2014:360:441:2413
Connor CliftonPIT1814:340:491:4202
Mike ReillyCAR1813:340:451:2741
Noel AcciariPIT1713:180:471:3205
Connor DewarPIT1712:530:451:3804
Ilya SolovyovPIT1612:390:471:3101
Justin BrazeauPIT1610:570:411:1511
Elmer SoderblomPIT149:590:431:1914
Mark JankowskiCAR158:390:351:0043
Eric RobinsonCAR127:550:401:0641
William CarrierCAR106:510:410:5930