Sat, Mar 21, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
New York Islanders 3, Montréal Canadiens 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 77% of the time.
70%
17%
MTL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.18 | 47.1% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.05 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.10 | 30.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.06 | 25.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.14 | 42.7% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:24 | 0.47 | 39.6% | +29.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.24 | 34.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.10 | 40.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.17 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.27 | 25.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.15 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.19 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.12 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 3.77 | −2.2 | 50:47 | |
| – | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.26 | −0.7 | 8:11 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:45 | 0.09 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.00 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:27 | 0.33 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:37 | 0.00 | 57.4% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.36 | 79.1% | +51.2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 17:14 | 0.44 | 76.9% | +53.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.17 | 67.7% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.52 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.46 | 80.6% | +54.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.10 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.15 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14:11 | 0.54 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.33 | 65.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.07 | 65.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.23 | 37.7% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.05 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.18 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.25 | −0.7 | 60:00 |