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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Goal by Cozens (Kleven, Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Kleven, Zub

  3. P1 4:20Shot by Zub, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:22Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:25Goal by Spence (Cousins, Zub)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Moser · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Zub

  6. P1 5:19Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 8:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 8:06Shot by Moser, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 9:09Batherson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Moser · OTT Amadio, Batherson, Spence, Kleven, Zub

  10. P1 9:43Shot by Perry, saved by Reimer5v4
  11. P1 11:36Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 12:27Shot by Perry, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 12:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:19Shot by Goncalves, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 15:17Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 15:37Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:55Shot by Goncalves, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 15:58Shot by Moser, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 17:48Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:55Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 18:14Foegele: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Goncalves · OTT Foegele, Amadio, Pinto, Kleven, Zub

  22. P1 19:57Shot by Perry, saved by Reimer5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:46Shot by Goncalves, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 2:13Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 3:37Goal by Hagel (D'Astous, Lilleberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Kleven, Zub

  28. P2 4:57Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:14Goal by D'Astous (Gourde, Girgensons)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Foegele, Kleven, Stützle, Zub

  30. P2 6:36Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 7:40Lilleberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  32. P2 7:56Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P2 7:58Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 8:09Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  35. P2 8:09Yakemchuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  36. P2 8:09Cozens: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  37. P2 8:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Reimer4v4
  38. P2 8:44Shot by Guentzel, saved by Reimer4v4
  39. P2 8:50Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  40. P2 9:04Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer4v4
  41. P2 10:08Shot by Hagel, saved by Reimer5v4
  42. P2 10:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 10:47Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 12:18Shot by Girgensons, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 12:55Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 14:35Shot by Perry, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 17:52Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Point, Cernak, Holmberg · OTT Cousins, Batherson, Thomson, Stützle, Matinpalo

  48. P2 18:34Shot by Spence, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  49. P2 19:23Tkachuk: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Moser · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  50. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 3:06Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer
  54. P3 4:22Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 4:46Shot by Kleven, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 7:06Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:15Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 8:51Goal by Lilleberg (Hagel, Goncalves)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Stützle, Zub, Yakemchuk

  59. P3 9:42Shot by Sabourin, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 10:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 10:58Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 11:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 14:21Shot by Spence, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 15:58Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 16:42Shot by Girgensons, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 17:48Goal by Guentzel (Perry, Lilleberg)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · OTT Zetterlund, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Yakemchuk

  67. P3 17:51Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 18:12Shot by Spence, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final