Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
60%
25%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:04 | 0.16 | 49.7% | +14.6 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.06 | 51.2% | +12.3 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:41 | 0.35 | 57.6% | +12.3 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.22 | 9.7% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.56 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.42 | 42.5% | +14.6 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.08 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.22 | 70.8% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.06 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.21 | 44.2% | +14.6 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.11 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Carter YakemchukD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Lassi ThomsonD · #60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.02 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.08 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:05 | 0.33 | 55.8% | +12.3 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:47 | 0.11 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.99 | −1.0 | 58:18 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:32 | 0.27 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:17 | 1.05 | 59.2% | +51.5 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.03 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.11 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.23 | 59.4% | +36.4 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.01 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.30 | 45.8% | +6.5 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.23 | 51.8% | +17.3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.07 | 57.0% | +32.4 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.78 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.17 | 34.0% | +17.3 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.12 | 58.4% | +58.1 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:35 | 0.47 | 57.0% | +6.5 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.09 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:50 | 0.12 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Steven SantiniD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.98 | +1.0 | 60:00 |