OTT 2 @ TBL 4 · Mar 28, 2026

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Away

Ottawa Senators

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

60%

25%

TBL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Giroux–Batherson–Stützle	Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig	Cousins–Amadio–Pinto	Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund	Cousins–Batherson–Stützle	Batherson–Tkachuk–Cozens	Kleven–Zub	Thomson–Matinpalo	Spence–Yakemchuk	Spence–Matinpalo	Spence–Kleven	Kleven–Yakemchuk	Spence–Zub	Kleven–Matinpalo	Thomson–Spence
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg	1:540.00–0.06	2:440.10–0.22	0:340.00–0.00	0:340.06–0.00	0:430.00–0.00	1:230.10–0.04	2:460.07–0.08	3:060.01–0.14	2:100.17–0.01	0:430.00–0.00	1:010.10–0.18	0:300.00–0.00
Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves	2:100.16–0.00	0:390.13–0.00	2:440.08–0.29		0:370.00–0.00		3:330.26–0.36	1:160.00–0.00	2:340.09–0.00		0:320.00–0.00	0:520.00–0.00
Perry–Guentzel–Point		1:090.11–0.24	2:290.10–0.01	0:580.00–0.06			3:140.13–0.04	1:270.10–0.00	0:560.14–0.10	1:020.11–0.01	1:120.00–0.24				0:340.00–0.00
Guentzel–Point–Goncalves										0:300.00–0.00			1:050.00–0.00
Perry–Sabourin–Cirelli				0:580.07–0.00				1:110.07–0.06
Bjorkstrand–Cirelli–Hagel	1:030.09–0.00											0:470.01–0.00
Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg	0:340.00–0.00	0:360.15–0.00					1:100.15–0.00
Gourde–Hagel–Goncalves							0:350.04–0.00
Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point			1:000.00–0.31								0:340.00–0.00
Raddysh–Moser	3:040.10–0.03	1:480.31–0.24	3:010.13–0.33	1:010.07–0.00	1:010.17–0.00		5:040.43–0.10	2:400.28–0.00	3:250.01–0.10	1:250.31–0.01		1:440.01–0.00	0:470.00–0.31
D'Astous–Lilleberg	1:490.17–0.03	1:320.13–0.00	1:400.00–0.00	2:310.06–0.16		0:410.00–0.02	2:410.20–0.04	1:320.05–0.11	3:090.20–0.01	1:100.00–0.00	2:110.00–0.11	0:370.00–0.03		0:410.00–0.09
McDonagh–Cernak	1:400.04–0.03	3:350.29–0.38	1:160.05–0.29			0:370.10–0.02	5:030.22–0.34	2:270.14–0.03			0:420.10–0.17		1:010.00–0.00
McDonagh–Lilleberg	0:550.00–0.00
McDonagh–Raddysh															0:340.00–0.00
Raddysh–D'Astous							0:310.00–0.00
McDonagh–Santini				0:310.00–0.00				0:350.00–0.00

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Tyler KlevenOTT	33	27:04	0:49	2:38	3	8
Darren RaddyshTBL	30	25:32	0:51	1:36	6	3
Artem ZubOTT	31	24:02	0:47	1:59	2	10
Jordan SpenceOTT	32	22:41	0:43	1:36	5	4
Brandon HagelTBL	26	22:17	0:51	1:54	6	4
J.J. MoserTBL	29	21:48	0:45	1:34	6	4
Tim StützleOTT	26	21:41	0:50	1:52	5	2
Brayden PointTBL	26	20:44	0:48	1:43	9	1
Gage GoncalvesTBL	25	20:06	0:48	1:16	5	2
Ryan McDonaghTBL	23	19:45	0:52	1:54	3	4
Anthony CirelliTBL	31	19:31	0:38	1:18	8	4
Jake GuentzelTBL	24	19:25	0:49	1:35	11	1
Drake BathersonOTT	26	18:51	0:44	1:48	6	1
Yanni GourdeTBL	23	18:44	0:49	1:14	4	4
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL	23	17:29	0:46	1:47	4	1
Shane PintoOTT	27	17:03	0:38	1:18	1	8
Brady TkachukOTT	24	16:55	0:42	2:03	6	4
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT	23	16:41	0:44	1:48	0	4
Pontus HolmbergTBL	22	16:05	0:44	1:09	6	2
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL	20	15:54	0:48	1:36	4	4
Michael AmadioOTT	25	15:19	0:37	1:22	2	5
Ridly GreigOTT	25	15:13	0:37	0:59	2	7
Dylan CozensOTT	24	15:03	0:38	1:37	6	5
Emil LillebergTBL	22	14:58	0:41	1:16	3	1
Claude GirouxOTT	24	14:53	0:37	1:49	3	4
Corey PerryTBL	20	14:35	0:44	2:10	4	0
Erik CernakTBL	22	14:17	0:39	1:22	3	5
Carter YakemchukOTT	21	13:58	0:40	1:32	9	1
Lassi ThomsonOTT	16	11:24	0:43	1:48	1	1
Fabian ZetterlundOTT	19	11:13	0:35	0:58	2	0
Nick CousinsOTT	17	11:05	0:39	1:48	0	5
Warren FoegeleOTT	19	10:47	0:34	1:10	3	0
Lars EllerOTT	16	9:49	0:37	1:19	1	2
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL	12	7:11	0:36	1:20	3	1
Scott SabourinTBL	12	5:50	0:29	1:07	1	1
Steven SantiniTBL	3	1:49	0:36	0:52	0	1

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Who was on the ice

Shift totals