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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Dallas Stars 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Dallas Stars

6

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Blackwell: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Letang, Rakell, Girard, Koivunen, McGroarty, Kindel · DAL Benn, Myers, Blackwell, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  3. P1 2:12Goal by Mantha (Karlsson, Rakell)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Chinakhov · DAL Lindell, Heiskanen, Bäck, Hyry

  4. P1 3:23Shot by Rakell, saved by Oettinger
  5. P1 6:15Shot by Acciari, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 7:08Shot by Rust, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 10:12Shot by Blackwell, saved by Skinner
  8. P1 10:53Mantha: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Rust, Rakell, Clifton, Mantha, Girard · DAL Myers, Bunting, Rantanen, Johnston, Bichsel

  9. P1 10:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner4v5
  10. P1 11:21Shot by Duchene, saved by Skinner4v5
  11. P1 12:14Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner4v5
  12. P1 12:16Koivunen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Acciari · DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  13. P1 12:33Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner3v5
  14. P1 12:56Shot by Rantanen, saved by Skinner4v5
  15. P1 15:07Shot by Bäck, saved by Skinner
  16. P1 16:38McGroarty: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Letang, Girard, Koivunen, McGroarty, Kindel · DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Robertson, Harley, Bourque, Bichsel

  17. P1 18:46Shot by Hyry, saved by Skinner
  18. P1 19:15Shot by Benn, saved by Skinner
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:10Goal by Hryckowian (Blackwell, Benn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Shea, Koivunen, McGroarty, Kindel · DAL Benn, Myers, Blackwell, Bichsel, Hryckowian

  22. P2 2:17Shot by Blackwell, saved by Skinner
  23. P2 2:27Shot by Bichsel, saved by Skinner
  24. P2 2:58Goal by Karlsson (Wotherspoon)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · DAL Lindell, Bunting, Rantanen, Heiskanen, Johnston

  25. P2 3:39Shot by Bäck, saved by Skinner
  26. P2 4:32Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Oettinger
  27. P2 4:57Shot by Koivunen, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 5:45Wotherspoon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · DAL Blackwell, Bunting, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian

  29. P2 7:12Goal by Robertson (Rantanen, Duchene)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar · DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  30. P2 8:26Shot by Hyry, saved by Skinner
  31. P2 9:45Soderblom: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rust, Wotherspoon, Dewar, Soderblom · DAL Lindell, Bunting, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  32. P2 9:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Skinner4v5
  33. P2 10:12Goal by Rantanen (Robertson, Heiskanen)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Rakell, Clifton, Shea, Kindel · DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  34. P2 11:38Goal by Bichsel (Bourque, Bäck)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Wotherspoon · DAL Myers, Bäck, Bourque, Bichsel, Hyry

  35. P2 12:59Shot by Kindel, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 14:14Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 16:17Lundkvist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Soderblom · DAL Benn, Lundkvist, Harley, Bourque, Hryckowian

  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 3:03Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Skinner
  41. P3 6:20Benn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Shea, Dewar, Koivunen, McGroarty · DAL Benn, Blackwell, Lindell, Heiskanen, Hryckowian

  42. P3 6:48Shot by Rust, saved by Oettinger5v4
  43. P3 8:54Goal by Acciari (Soderblom, Karlsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · DAL Benn, Myers, Blackwell, Harley, Hryckowian

  44. P3 10:53Bunting: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Shea, Dewar, Koivunen, McGroarty · DAL Benn, Blackwell, Lindell, Heiskanen, Hryckowian

  45. P3 11:18Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Oettinger5v4
  46. P3 13:14Shot by Rantanen, saved by Skinner
  47. P3 14:58Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Skinner
  48. P3 15:10Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  49. P3 15:42Shot by Blackwell, saved by Skinner
  50. P3 16:52Goal by Bourque (Myers)6v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Chinakhov · DAL Myers, Duchene, Robertson, Bourque, Bichsel

  51. P3 17:14Shot by Hyry, saved by Skinner
  52. P3 18:50Goal by Bourque (Benn, Lindell)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Mantha, Chinakhov · DAL Benn, Lindell, Heiskanen, Bourque, Hryckowian

  53. P3 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Final