Sat, Mar 28, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Dallas Stars 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.
21%
64%
PIT winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Robertson–Bourque | Bunting–Rantanen–Johnston | Benn–Blackwell–Hryckowian | Bastian–Bäck–Hyry | Bäck–Bourque–Hyry | Blackwell–Bäck–Hyry | Lindell–Heiskanen | Lundkvist–Harley | Myers–Bichsel | Lindell–Harley | Myers–Harley | Lundkvist–Bichsel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rust–Rakell–Mantha | 2:420.23–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.09 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 2:170.15–0.00 | 2:080.09–0.16 | |||||
| Acciari–Dewar–Soderblom | 1:520.00–0.15 | 1:200.16–0.00 | 0:560.22–0.07 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:370.14–0.15 | 2:260.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Novak–Brazeau–Chinakhov | 2:480.23–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:240.13–0.00 | 2:070.08–0.00 | 2:350.19–0.19 | 0:510.10–0.00 | |||||
| Koivunen–McGroarty–Kindel | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 1:580.08–0.15 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:520.08–0.00 | 1:060.03–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.15 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||
| Mantha–Novak–Chinakhov | 2:130.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Rust–Rakell–Kindel | 2:100.00–0.14 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Rust–Rakell–Chinakhov | 0:550.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:550.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Dewar–Koivunen–McGroarty | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Letang–Girard | 4:550.08–0.17 | 1:480.03–0.07 | 2:160.00–0.14 | 2:150.13–0.06 | 2:050.00–0.00 | 5:140.10–0.20 | 4:240.04–0.25 | 1:520.10–0.07 | ||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 2:220.03–0.00 | 7:590.40–0.08 | 0:430.22–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.18 | 4:210.14–0.01 | 3:450.17–0.00 | 3:500.11–0.18 | 0:380.00–0.08 | ||||
| Clifton–Shea | 2:360.15–0.15 | 3:280.08–0.22 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 4:110.08–0.15 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 1:510.15–0.22 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| Letang–Karlsson | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 1:190.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 22 | 25:38 | 1:10 | 2:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 25 | 24:47 | 0:59 | 3:06 | 9 | 4 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 19 | 22:20 | 1:11 | 2:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 21 | 21:50 | 1:02 | 2:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 24 | 21:45 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 6 | 2 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 25 | 21:33 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 8 | 1 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 16 | 21:03 | 1:19 | 2:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 22 | 20:44 | 0:57 | 2:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 20 | 19:02 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 2 | 2 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 19 | 19:01 | 1:00 | 3:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 19 | 18:57 | 1:00 | 2:53 | 6 | 1 |
 Egor ChinakhovPIT | 22 | 18:36 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 9 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 16 | 17:33 | 1:06 | 2:27 | 5 | 2 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 20 | 17:17 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 6 | 0 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 20 | 17:11 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 5 | 4 |
 Samuel GirardPIT | 18 | 16:49 | 0:56 | 1:47 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 19 | 16:42 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyler MyersDAL | 17 | 16:17 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 18 | 16:02 | 0:53 | 1:58 | 0 | 5 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 22 | 15:55 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 0 | 2 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 19 | 15:36 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 0 | 1 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 1 | 6 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 19 | 14:47 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 0 | 3 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 18 | 14:12 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 16 | 13:09 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 2 | 5 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 16 | 12:27 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Michael BuntingDAL | 19 | 12:23 | 0:39 | 1:39 | 5 | 2 |
 Arttu HyryDAL | 15 | 12:14 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 18 | 12:08 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 16 | 12:02 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 17 | 11:36 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Rutger McGroartyPIT | 16 | 10:41 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Elmer SoderblomPIT | 13 | 8:48 | 0:41 | 1:46 | 1 | 3 |
 Nathan BastianDAL | 5 | 4:02 | 0:48 | 1:02 | 0 | 0 |