Sat, Mar 28, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Dallas Stars 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.
21%
64%
PIT winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:38 | 0.09 | 39.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.19 | 47.4% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:03 | 0.76 | 54.0% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.80 | 61.6% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.19 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.34 | 40.5% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.51 | 56.0% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 50.6% | +11.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.24 | 43.1% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.19 | 52.4% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.08 | 73.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.07 | 66.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.14 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 59.3% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:02 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 59:23 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 1 | 24:47 | 0.14 | 71.8% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.27 | 32.9% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.49 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.49 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.14 | 45.4% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 73.0% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.03 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.11 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.13 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.15 | 66.4% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.10 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.08 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.20 | 66.4% | +15.6 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.68 | −1.3 | 58:32 |