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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Washington Capitals 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)

Away

Washington Capitals

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.

VGK winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Protas, saved by Hill
  3. P1 0:44Shot by Stone, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Sourdif, saved by Hill
  6. P1 5:15Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  7. P1 6:06Goal by Lapierre (Miroshnichenko, Duhaime)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Hertl, Sissons, Theodore · WSH Chychrun, Duhaime, Sandin, Lapierre, Miroshnichenko

  8. P1 6:27Shot by Barbashev, saved by Thompson
  9. P1 8:25Shot by Lauzon, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 10:35Shot by Sandin, saved by Hill
  11. P1 10:56Shot by Leonard, saved by Hill
  12. P1 12:58Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Hill
  13. P1 15:06Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  14. P1 15:25Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson
  15. P1 17:55Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson
  16. P1 18:04Shot by McNabb, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 18:09Shot by McNabb, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 19:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 19:53Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:06Shot by Lauzon, saved by Thompson
  23. P2 1:19Shot by Leonard, saved by Hill
  24. P2 1:31Howden: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hutton, Hanifin, Marner, Howden, Dorofeyev · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Sourdif, Leonard

  25. P2 1:55Goal by Sourdif (McMichael, Hutson)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Sissons, Lauzon, Smith · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, McMichael, Sourdif, Hutson

  26. P2 3:29Sandin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · WSH Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, Sandin, McMichael

  27. P2 3:37Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson5v4
  28. P2 6:04Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 6:49Goal by Beauvillier (Leonard, Sourdif)+9 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Hertl, Sissons, Hutton, Hanifin · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Sourdif, Leonard

  30. P2 9:46McNabb: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Hertl, Sissons, Theodore · WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Sourdif, Leonard

  31. P2 10:38Goal by Dowd, unassisted4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Dowd, Theodore, Lauzon, Smith · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Chychrun, Lapierre, Leonard

  32. P2 11:03Goal by Andersson (Eichel)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, McMichael, Sourdif, Hutson

  33. P2 13:18Goal by Eichel (Andersson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Barbashev, Andersson, Eichel, Lauzon · WSH Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, Sandin, McMichael

  34. P2 13:28Shot by Howden, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 14:43Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 14:49Kolesar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Dowd, Hanifin, Andersson, Kolesar, Smith · WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun

  37. P2 14:58Shot by McMichael, saved by Hill4v5
  38. P2 15:09Shot by Sissons, saved by Thompson4v5
  39. P2 16:03Shot by Leonard, saved by Hill4v5
  40. P2 19:48Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  41. P2 19:53Wilson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Dowd, Hanifin, Andersson, Kolesar, Smith · WSH Wilson, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Hutson

  42. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:31Goal by Marner (Dorofeyev, Eichel)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Eichel, Marner, Dorofeyev · WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Fehérváry, McMichael

  45. P3 1:09Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompson
  46. P3 4:19Shot by Barbashev, saved by Thompson
  47. P3 4:36Strome: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Marner · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Hutson

  48. P3 6:31Andersson: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VGK Sissons, Theodore, Barbashev, Andersson, Howden · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Duhaime, Sandin

  49. P3 6:58Marner: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Theodore, Eichel, Marner · WSH Ovechkin, Chychrun, Sandin, McMichael

  50. P3 7:08Shot by Wilson, saved by Hill3v4
  51. P3 7:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hill3v4
  52. P3 8:54Goal by Strome (Hutson, Ovechkin)4v5+36 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Dowd, Lauzon, Smith · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, McMichael, Sourdif, Hutson

  53. P3 10:32Shot by Leonard, saved by Hill
  54. P3 11:45Shot by Dowd, saved by Thompson
  55. P3 14:20Shot by Hutson, saved by Hill
  56. P3 15:28Shot by Sourdif, saved by Hill
  57. P3 16:32Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompson
  58. P3 17:53Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hill
  59. P3 18:21Shot by Hertl, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. OT 0:00Period start
  62. OT 1:29Shot by Hutson, saved by Hill3v3
  63. OT 2:10Shot by Sourdif, saved by Hill3v3
  64. OT 2:50Shot by Dubois, saved by Hill3v3
  65. OT 3:18Shot by Strome, saved by Hill3v3
  66. OT 4:01Shot by Hanifin, saved by Thompson3v3
  67. OT 4:35Hanifin: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: VGK Hanifin, Marner, Howden · WSH Wilson, Chychrun, Sourdif

  68. OT 5:00Period end3v4
  69. SO Period start
  70. SO Goal by Strome, unassistedother
  71. SO Shot by Andersson, saved by Thompsonother
  72. SO Shot by Leonard, saved by Hillother
  73. SO Shot by Eichel, saved by Thompsonother
  74. SO Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Thompsonother
  75. SO Period endother
  76. SO Finalother