Sat, Mar 28, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Washington Capitals 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
60%
8%
8%
24%
VGK winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.14 | 9.8% | 0.0 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:55 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.09 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.11 | 13.4% | +15.1 |
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.28 | 35.5% | +36.2 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.10 | 48.7% | +9.0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.05 | 11.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.20 | 36.4% | +36.2 |
 Justin SourdifC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.49 | 64.5% | +24.1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.02 | 32.1% | +15.0 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:17 | 0.32 | 55.0% | +9.0 |
 Cole HutsonD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.19 | 44.8% | +51.2 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:05 | 0.13 | 75.5% | +15.0 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 75.5% | +15.0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:27 | 0.11 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Logan Thompson#48 | W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.31 | −0.7 | 65:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 23:23 | 0.47 | 82.5% | +63.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:20 | 0.48 | 79.2% | +34.7 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.12 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.17 | 45.7% | +28.2 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.22 | 83.8% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.06 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.13 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.39 | 48.8% | +28.2 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.25 | 86.5% | 0.0 |
 Cole SmithRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.17 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Ben HuttonD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:23 | 0.16 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.17 | 57.0% | +8.3 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.29 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.20 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | O | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.25 | −1.8 | 64:52 |