Sat, Mar 28, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Washington Capitals 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.
60%
8%
8%
24%
VGK winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | Beauvillier–Sourdif–Leonard | Duhaime–Lapierre–Miroshnichenko | Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | Duhaime–Sourdif–Leonard | Wilson–Strome–Beauvillier | Wilson–Dubois–Protas | Fehérváry–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | Roy–Hutson | Chychrun–Sandin | Roy–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Roy | Roy–Chychrun | van Riemsdyk–Hutson | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Roy–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marner–Howden–Dorofeyev | 2:160.01–0.00 | 1:580.01–0.16 | 1:220.00–0.09 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.08 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 3:590.21–0.22 | 2:570.02–0.09 | 1:420.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:400.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | 5:390.50–0.07 | 1:040.02–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.05 | 4:520.28–0.05 | 2:190.25–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:470.21–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:470.12–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dowd–Kolesar–Smith | 0:310.03–0.00 | 1:550.09–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:060.06–0.16 | 1:580.06–0.16 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:020.13–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Smith–Hertl–Sissons | 1:040.00–0.10 | 1:110.01–0.13 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 2:110.05–0.10 | 0:550.17–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.13 | |||||||||||
| Dowd–Stone–Smith | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Marner–Dorofeyev–Smith | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Barbashev–Eichel–Dorofeyev | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 1:210.03–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.13 | 2:520.22–0.09 | 1:350.11–0.02 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 3:450.11–0.09 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 4:130.27–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.13 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:530.12–0.00 | ||||
| Andersson–Lauzon | 5:420.52–0.07 | 0:490.14–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.16 | 1:040.00–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 5:190.28–0.16 | 3:310.51–0.00 | 1:330.02–0.07 | 0:460.21–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Hutton–Hanifin | 0:330.00–0.00 | 4:470.10–0.26 | 2:280.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.00 | 3:380.01–0.32 | 2:290.09–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Hanifin–Andersson | 1:060.03–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 1:390.12–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tom WilsonWSH | 30 | 24:11 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 2 | 5 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 27 | 23:55 | 0:53 | 1:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 28 | 23:23 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 34 | 23:20 | 0:41 | 1:43 | 3 | 4 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 32 | 22:45 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 3 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 30 | 22:19 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 8 | 4 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 25 | 21:43 | 0:52 | 2:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 25 | 21:25 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 0 | 1 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 30 | 21:14 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 2 | 5 |
 Noah HanifinVGK | 30 | 20:45 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 25 | 20:14 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 0 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 33 | 20:10 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 6 | 6 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 23 | 19:26 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 0 | 6 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 24 | 19:13 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 8 | 0 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 30 | 19:10 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 6 | 5 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 30 | 19:07 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 1 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 22 | 19:00 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 24 | 18:17 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 3 | 3 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 28 | 18:09 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 2:26 | 6 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 25 | 17:34 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett HowdenVGK | 25 | 17:25 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 6 | 2 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 26 | 15:53 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 4 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 21 | 15:48 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 21 | 15:17 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 0 | 3 |
 Cole HutsonWSH | 20 | 15:11 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Cole SmithVGK | 20 | 12:55 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Ben HuttonVGK | 16 | 12:29 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 16 | 12:23 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 Nic DowdVGK | 19 | 11:56 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Colton SissonsVGK | 18 | 10:49 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 2 | 5 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 18 | 10:48 | 0:36 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 12 | 9:24 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 13 | 8:05 | 0:37 | 1:02 | 1 | 0 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 10 | 7:50 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 7 | 6:27 | 0:55 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |