Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:29Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:06Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:49Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 2:48Shot by Holmberg, saved by Dobes
- P1 3:06Struble: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · MTL Gallagher, Veleno, Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj
- P1 3:47Shot by Point, saved by Dobes5v4
- P1 4:02Shot by Hagel, saved by Dobes5v4
- P1 4:03Shot by Point, saved by Dobes5v4
- P1 5:46Shot by Gourde, saved by Dobes
- P1 6:57Shot by Newhook, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:24Guhle: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P1 9:44Shot by Point, saved by Dobes5v4
- P1 9:55Dobson: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · MTL Matheson, Evans, Veleno, Dobson
- P1 9:55Kucherov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · MTL Matheson, Evans, Veleno, Dobson
- P1 10:25Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Goncalves · MTL Matheson, Evans, Veleno, Hutson
- P1 11:03D'Astous: Tripping (2 min)4v4
On ice: TBL Paul, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Matheson, Newhook, Kapanen, Hutson
- P1 11:35Shot by Demidov, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
- P1 12:25Goal by Slafkovský (Demidov, Caufield)3v5+15 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov
- P1 13:41Goal by Guentzel (Girgensons, McDonagh)+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Newhook
- P1 14:54Shot by Suzuki, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 15:29Shot by Suzuki, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 16:07Shot by Gourde, saved by Dobes
- P1 18:57Shot by Suzuki, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:15Shot by Struble, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 0:30Shot by Newhook, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:54Shot by Cernak, saved by Dobes
- P2 4:00Shot by Suzuki, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 5:08Shot by Cernak, saved by Dobes
- P2 8:09Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes
- P2 8:16Shot by Danault, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 11:49Shot by Gourde, saved by Dobes
- P2 12:10Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes
- P2 12:49Goal by Caufield (Slafkovský, Matheson)+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský
- P2 13:57Shot by Cernak, saved by Dobes
- P2 14:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes6v5
- P2 15:35Newhook: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Perry, Gourde, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel · MTL Danault, Matheson, Veleno, Dobson, Guhle
- P2 15:54Shot by Hagel, saved by Dobes5v4
- P2 16:27Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes5v4
- P2 16:33Shot by Point, saved by Dobes5v4
- P2 16:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes5v4
- P2 17:22Shot by Veleno, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 19:09Kucherov: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle, Hutson, Slafkovský
- P2 19:59Shot by Hagel, saved by Dobes4v5
- P2 0:00Period end4v5
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:36Shot by Demidov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P3 1:30Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 1:49Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes
- P3 3:51Shot by Gourde, saved by Dobes
- P3 4:33Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:42Shot by Goncalves, saved by Dobes
- P3 4:45Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Bolduc: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Anderson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Bolduc: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Anderson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 4:45Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Evans, Guhle, Bolduc, Xhekaj
- P3 5:45Shot by Moser, saved by Dobes
- P3 6:39Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes
- P3 6:59Shot by Cernak, saved by Dobes
- P3 7:00Shot by Holmberg, saved by Dobes
- P3 7:01Shot by Holmberg, saved by Dobes
- P3 7:40Shot by Point, saved by Dobes
- P3 10:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dobes
- P3 11:57Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 14:04Shot by Cernak, saved by Dobes
- P3 14:25Shot by Cirelli, saved by Dobes
- P3 14:37Shot by McDonagh, saved by Dobes
- P3 15:26Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dobes
- P3 15:54Suzuki: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Gourde, Guentzel, Lilleberg · MTL Anderson, Suzuki, Guhle, Bolduc, Hutson
- P3 16:20Shot by Hagel, saved by Dobes5v4
- P3 16:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dobes5v4
- P3 17:27Evans: Boarding (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · MTL Evans, Veleno, Dobson, Hutson
- P3 17:27Raddysh: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · MTL Evans, Veleno, Dobson, Hutson
- P3 17:54Goal by Matheson, unassisted6v4+10 pts WP
On ice: TBL Perry, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel, D'Astous · MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Dobson
- P3 18:25Shot by Hagel, saved by Dobes6v5
- P3 18:54Goal by Suzuki, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle, Slafkovský
- P3 19:23Sabourin: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Xhekaj: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Goncalves: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Danault: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Paul: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Struble: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Cernak: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 19:23Veleno: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sabourin, Paul, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · MTL Gallagher, Danault, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj
- P3 0:00Anderson: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg · MTL Anderson, Dobson, Guhle, Bolduc, Kapanen
- P3 0:00McDonagh: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg · MTL Anderson, Dobson, Guhle, Bolduc, Kapanen
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final