Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
42%
9%
9%
41%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Lane HutsonD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:11 | 0.10 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.29 | 32.4% | +28.7 |
 Noah DobsonD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 20:27 | 0.98 | 52.3% | +0.5 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.16 | 51.5% | +33.8 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.08 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:05 | 0.32 | 63.6% | +33.8 |
 Ivan DemidovRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.51 | 28.4% | +15.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.19 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Phillip DanaultC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.07 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Oliver KapanenC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.13 | 15.5% | 0.0 |
 Jayden StrubleD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.01 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.16 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Arber XhekajD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.03 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.24 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 Zachary BolducRW · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 84.7% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.05 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Jakub Dobes#75 | W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.33 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.04 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 23:10 | 0.62 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 22:21 | 0.35 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.28 | 46.8% | +15.7 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:32 | 0.57 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.43 | 75.6% | +15.7 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:58 | 0.10 | 84.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.07 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:19 | 0.25 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.23 | 64.8% | +15.7 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:15 | 0.28 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.10 | 17.7% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 57:40 |