Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
42%
9%
9%
41%
TBL winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | Newhook–Kapanen–Demidov | Anderson–Evans–Bolduc | Gallagher–Danault–Veleno | Danault–Newhook–Demidov | Matheson–Dobson | Struble–Hutson | Guhle–Hutson | Guhle–Xhekaj | Xhekaj–Hutson | Struble–Xhekaj | Matheson–Guhle | Struble–Guhle | Dobson–Hutson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 4:250.34–0.23 | 1:560.09–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:270.44–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.23 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:410.09–0.00 | 1:280.20–0.00 | ||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 5:430.15–0.44 | 2:070.17–0.13 | 3:090.10–0.00 | 1:230.15–0.00 | 2:270.03–0.37 | 0:310.06–0.08 | ||||||||
| Perry–Sabourin–Paul | 5:090.00–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | 1:290.03–0.00 | 4:000.00–0.06 | 2:070.19–0.10 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 2:220.04–0.15 | 0:370.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:580.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | 0:530.50–0.00 | 0:530.50–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 4:420.08–0.33 | 2:290.22–0.04 | 2:020.02–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.14 | 4:550.12–0.11 | 2:160.15–0.04 | 2:440.08–0.24 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:290.02–0.00 | ||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 1:370.06–0.13 | 2:100.00–0.00 | 3:000.00–0.06 | 3:040.00–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:170.00–0.03 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.18 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.06 | ||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 3:120.34–0.20 | 3:080.53–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 2:480.44–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.20 | 1:230.50–0.00 | 1:500.04–0.00 | 1:330.04–0.00 | 0:560.14–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||
| McDonagh–D'Astous | 0:310.03–0.13 | 0:310.03–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McDonagh–Lilleberg | 0:320.00–0.14 | 0:470.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Lane HutsonMTL | 24 | 26:11 | 1:05 | 2:30 | 0 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 22 | 23:35 | 1:04 | 2:49 | 6 | 2 |
 Mike MathesonMTL | 25 | 23:28 | 0:56 | 1:59 | 0 | 8 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 23:10 | 1:00 | 3:08 | 6 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 20 | 22:21 | 1:07 | 3:00 | 5 | 3 |
 Noah DobsonMTL | 27 | 21:45 | 0:48 | 2:03 | 0 | 7 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 17 | 21:06 | 1:14 | 4:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 20:32 | 1:02 | 3:00 | 7 | 0 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 22 | 20:27 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 26 | 19:33 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 22 | 19:12 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 3 | 2 |
 Kaiden GuhleMTL | 25 | 18:14 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 20 | 17:55 | 0:54 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 22 | 17:23 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 21 | 17:17 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 21 | 17:05 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 15:58 | 0:38 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 18 | 15:49 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Ivan DemidovMTL | 16 | 15:43 | 0:59 | 1:49 | 7 | 0 |
 Alex NewhookMTL | 16 | 14:45 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 6 | 0 |
 Phillip DanaultMTL | 20 | 14:43 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 19 | 14:43 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 0 | 5 |
 Oliver KapanenMTL | 18 | 14:30 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 6 | 0 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 14:19 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 18 | 13:48 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 15 | 13:43 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 2 | 0 |
 Joseph VelenoMTL | 16 | 13:03 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 14 | 12:57 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 12:42 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 18 | 12:31 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 0 | 5 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 17 | 11:15 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 14 | 10:47 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Zachary BolducMTL | 16 | 10:37 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 12 | 9:50 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 11 | 9:05 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 14 | 8:18 | 0:36 | 0:54 | 1 | 0 |