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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Minnesota Wild 4, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.

OTT winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  3. P1 2:04Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:29Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  5. P1 3:45Shot by Cozens, saved by Wallstedt
  6. P1 4:01Shot by Hartman, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:04Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 4:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 4:31Shot by Pinto, saved by Wallstedt
  10. P1 4:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  11. P1 5:06Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  12. P1 6:43Shot by Sanderson, saved by Wallstedt
  13. P1 6:55Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 9:45Goal by Brodin (Tarasenko, Spurgeon)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Zetterlund, Batherson, Spence, Stützle, Matinpalo · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Brodin, Trenin, Yurov

  15. P1 10:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  16. P1 12:29Eriksson Ek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Matinpalo · MIN Bogosian, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Trenin, Boldy

  17. P1 12:32Shot by Sanderson, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  18. P1 13:55Shot by Spence, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  19. P1 15:35Goal by Hartman (Zuccarello)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Cousins, Amadio, Spence, Matinpalo · MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes

  20. P1 15:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  21. P1 15:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Wallstedt
  22. P1 16:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  23. P1 17:03Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 19:26Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  25. P1 19:47Bogosian: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Sanderson · MIN Bogosian, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov

  26. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:44Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Ullmark5v4
  29. P2 1:21Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  30. P2 1:25Shot by Foegele, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  31. P2 2:29Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 3:27Shot by Zub, saved by Wallstedt
  33. P2 4:06Shot by Boldy, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 5:53Shot by Hughes, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 6:27Shot by Sanderson, saved by Wallstedt
  36. P2 8:46Shot by McCarron, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 10:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  38. P2 10:21Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  39. P2 10:42Shot by Brodin, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 13:26Shot by Eller, saved by Wallstedt
  41. P2 15:31Goal by Hartman (Zuccarello, Kaprizov)+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes

  42. P2 15:43Shot by Boldy, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 17:34Shot by Stützle, saved by Wallstedt
  44. P2 18:30Hartman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Crotty, Tkachuk, Cozens, Thomson, Greig · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  45. P2 18:30Greig: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Crotty, Tkachuk, Cozens, Thomson, Greig · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  46. P2 19:00Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Ullmark4v4
  47. P2 19:27Zub: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · MIN Spurgeon, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes

  48. P2 0:00Period end3v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:29Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Ullmark3v4
  51. P3 0:30Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Ullmark4v5
  52. P3 0:48Shot by Hughes, saved by Ullmark4v5
  53. P3 3:43Shot by Trenin, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 4:11Shot by Giroux, saved by Wallstedt
  55. P3 4:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wallstedt
  56. P3 5:19Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  57. P3 5:28Shot by Thomson, saved by Wallstedt
  58. P3 5:41Shot by Thomson, saved by Wallstedt
  59. P3 5:59Shot by Amadio, saved by Wallstedt
  60. P3 12:46Goal by Middleton (Hughes, Eriksson Ek)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Foegele, Amadio, Crotty, Thomson · MIN Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy

  61. P3 13:13Shot by Greig, saved by Wallstedt
  62. P3 15:07Shot by Foegele, saved by Wallstedt
  63. P3 16:04Shot by Amadio, saved by Wallstedt
  64. P3 16:18Shot by Pinto, saved by Wallstedt
  65. P3 16:43Goal by Batherson (Thomson, Stützle)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Crotty, Batherson, Thomson, Stützle · MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber

  66. P3 17:01Shot by Faber, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 17:31Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Wallstedt
  68. P3 0:00Middleton: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Foegele, Crotty, Stützle, Matinpalo · MIN Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy

  69. P3 0:00Cousins: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Foegele, Crotty, Stützle, Matinpalo · MIN Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final