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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Minnesota Wild 4, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.

OTT winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zuccarello–Hartman–KaprizovJohansson–Eriksson Ek–BoldyTarasenko–Trenin–YurovFoligno–Foligno–McCarronFoligno–McCarron–TreninHughes–FaberBogosian–MiddletonSpurgeon–BrodinMiddleton–HughesBrodin–FaberSpurgeon–MiddletonBogosian–Hughes
Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig7:330.22–0.490:570.02–0.002:420.44–0.005:020.13–0.343:010.51–0.001:230.08–0.000:560.00–0.000:390.05–0.010:380.00–0.14
Giroux–Amadio–Pinto6:030.14–0.151:000.06–0.002:280.10–0.003:480.03–0.150:560.00–0.00
Eller–Cousins–Foegele0:320.00–0.023:080.00–0.021:370.00–0.020:490.06–0.001:450.00–0.02
Zetterlund–Batherson–Stützle1:230.02–0.161:320.00–0.181:360.00–0.231:130.02–0.01
Cousins–Batherson–Pinto0:320.00–0.000:520.11–0.000:440.05–0.050:430.01–0.000:520.16–0.050:390.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund1:080.00–0.001:010.11–0.00
Amadio–Batherson–Stützle0:510.00–0.010:490.00–0.01
Foegele–Amadio–Stützle0:370.00–0.00
Giroux–Eller–Zetterlund0:510.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Cousins–Amadio–Pinto1:070.00–0.120:580.00–0.11
Giroux–Batherson–Stützle0:390.05–0.000:520.05–0.00
Sanderson–Zub7:230.10–0.731:380.00–0.030:580.00–0.110:320.00–0.002:450.01–0.401:130.02–0.034:330.04–0.201:170.05–0.010:570.00–0.14
Spence–Matinpalo1:160.00–0.194:330.00–0.120:470.02–0.013:520.00–0.042:310.02–0.10
Crotty–Thomson0:410.23–0.221:320.10–0.003:190.00–0.021:430.37–0.001:490.00–0.001:510.00–0.021:270.00–0.22
Spence–Sanderson1:050.00–0.070:550.12–0.003:010.15–0.000:430.01–0.001:450.16–0.070:530.12–0.001:290.01–0.000:460.11–0.001:180.00–0.00
Thomson–Matinpalo1:070.03–0.001:090.00–0.010:580.03–0.000:550.00–0.010:490.06–0.00
Crotty–Spence0:420.00–0.021:130.23–0.010:460.00–0.001:050.23–0.020:450.00–0.00
Zub–Matinpalo0:350.11–0.000:440.00–0.001:140.11–0.000:390.00–0.00
Thomson–Zub1:090.06–0.000:330.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Crotty–Matinpalo1:190.05–0.090:490.07–0.09
Thomson–Spence0:590.14–0.000:320.00–0.121:030.14–0.00
Crotty–Zub0:310.00–0.010:440.00–0.01
Spence–Zub0:320.00–0.030:560.02–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FCozens FGreig FAmadio FGiroux FPinto FBatherson FZetterlund FStützle FCousins FEller FFoegele FSpence DMatinpalo DSanderson DZub DThomson DCrotty DUllmark GBoldy FEriksson Ek FJohansson FZuccarello FHartman FKaprizov FTarasenko FTrenin FYurov FFoligno FMcCarron FFoligno FFaber DHughes DBrodin DSpurgeon DMiddleton DBogosian DWallstedt G
OTTMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Quinn HughesMIN2226:011:112:4812
Jake SandersonOTT2624:550:582:0744
Brock FaberMIN2524:050:582:1014
Jordan SpenceOTT2922:510:471:1463
Artem ZubOTT2821:510:471:4413
Jake MiddletonMIN2120:581:001:5710
Shane PintoOTT2419:390:491:2425
Jonas BrodinMIN2318:000:471:2214
Kirill KaprizovMIN1717:561:031:5422
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2017:500:541:5231
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2417:390:441:2903
Michael AmadioOTT2117:290:502:2903
Matt BoldyMIN1917:160:551:5240
Brady TkachukOTT2216:590:461:2245
Tim StützleOTT2316:310:432:0971
Dylan CozensOTT2316:300:431:1645
Yakov TreninMIN1715:320:551:3111
Lassi ThomsonOTT2015:210:461:2231
Ridly GreigOTT2115:190:441:2235
Mats ZuccarelloMIN1615:150:571:4942
Jared SpurgeonMIN2114:540:431:1014
Claude GirouxOTT1714:340:511:2522
Ryan HartmanMIN1714:280:511:3732
Cameron CrottyOTT2214:190:390:5622
Zach BogosianMIN1614:080:531:3212
Drake BathersonOTT2014:050:421:3090
Danila YurovMIN1613:280:511:1020
Michael McCarronMIN1613:160:501:3102
Marcus JohanssonMIN1713:160:471:1830
Nick CousinsOTT1713:050:461:1241
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN1613:000:491:0601
Warren FoegeleOTT1812:390:421:1221
Lars EllerOTT1712:350:441:2823
Nick FolignoMIN1812:280:421:2305
Marcus FolignoMIN1612:090:461:1302
Fabian ZetterlundOTT149:390:411:2620