Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Minnesota Wild 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
11%
40%
OTT winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 26:01 | 0.12 | 63.7% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.07 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.13 | 33.6% | +0.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.05 | 45.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.41 | 70.4% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.29 | 44.0% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.22 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.16 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.11 | 68.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.02 | 53.7% | +15.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.46 | 65.7% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.20 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.04 | 42.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 2.22 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:55 | 0.06 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.12 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.36 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.06 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.02 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 16:59 | 0.38 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.03 | 34.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.14 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.08 | 57.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 15:19 | 0.37 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.25 | 38.9% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.23 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.06 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.05 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.29 | −1.7 | 60:00 |