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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

New York Islanders 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:59Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:06Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 3:04Gatcomb: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Carrier, Walker, Robinson, Miller, Stankoven · NYI Cizikas, Palat, Pelech, Soucy, Gatcomb

  6. P1 3:36Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin5v4
  7. P1 3:36Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin5v4
  8. P1 4:41Shot by Pelech, saved by Bussi5v4
  9. P1 5:17Goal by Gatcomb (Holmstrom, Pageau)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · NYI Pageau, Holmstrom, George, Gatcomb, Schaefer

  10. P1 9:22Shot by George, saved by Bussi
  11. P1 9:23Shot by Palat, saved by Bussi
  12. P1 9:34Shot by Nikishin, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 9:36Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:07Goal by Jarvis (Walker, Miller)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  15. P1 11:45Shot by Hall, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 13:39Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:05Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 14:18Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Robinson, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:56Shot by Ehlers, saved by Sorokin
  23. P2 1:20Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 2:15Goal by Shabanov (Ritchie, Mayfield)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, George, Ritchie, Shabanov

  25. P2 2:44Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 3:04Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 3:41Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 4:56Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin6v5
  29. P2 4:58Pelech: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield · NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  30. P2 5:44Shot by Ehlers, saved by Sorokin5v4
  31. P2 6:16Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin5v4
  32. P2 6:19Mayfield: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Horvat, Schaefer

  33. P2 6:19Jarvis: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Horvat, Schaefer

  34. P2 6:37Shot by Stankoven, saved by Sorokin5v4
  35. P2 8:46Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 11:15Goal by Blake (Stankoven, Hall)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, George, Ritchie, Shabanov

  37. P2 12:27Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 12:33Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 12:41Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 12:43Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 12:44Pulock: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  42. P2 15:03Nikishin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Martinook, Carrier, Walker, Nikishin, Stankoven · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov

  43. P2 16:17Goal by Aho (Jarvis, Slavin)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Walker, Jarvis · NYI Schenn, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer

  44. P2 17:00Shot by Lee, saved by Bussi4v5
  45. P2 17:50Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 18:07Shot by Carrier, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:24Goal by Jarvis (Svechnikov, Miller)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  50. P3 1:42Shot by Blake, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 1:55Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 4:49Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 5:46Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 8:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Bussi
  55. P3 9:35Shot by Ehlers, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 10:04Shot by Ritchie, saved by Bussi
  57. P3 10:22Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Bussi
  58. P3 12:50Shot by Nikishin, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 13:33Shot by Lee, saved by Bussi
  60. P3 14:21Shot by Horvat, saved by Bussi
  61. P3 14:33Shot by Staal, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 16:17Shot by Blake, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 17:10Shot by Barzal, saved by Bussi5v6
  64. P3 17:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Bussi5v6
  65. P3 18:23Goal by Lee (Schaefer, Barzal)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Jankowski, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · NYI Schenn, Lee, Pageau, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer

  66. P3 19:33Shot by Lee, saved by Bussi5v6
  67. P3 19:36Shot by Schaefer, saved by Bussi5v6
  68. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  69. P3 0:00Final5v6