Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
New York Islanders 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
CAR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:11 | 0.25 | 33.8% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.26 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.01 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.05 | 24.1% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:46 | 0.61 | 27.8% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.02 | 37.9% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 29.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.05 | 42.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.37 | 44.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.01 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.17 | 23.7% | +16.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.16 | 49.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:21 | 0.02 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.08 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.95 | −0.1 | 56:38 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.02 | 62.2% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:13 | 0.41 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.19 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.05 | 57.1% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 60.0% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 18:48 | 0.71 | 67.8% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.06 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 17:26 | 1.19 | 59.1% | +57.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.40 | 61.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.14 | 70.8% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.29 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.38 | 79.2% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.20 | 78.9% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.18 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.23 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.07 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.02 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.04 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.09 | −0.9 | 59:47 |