Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Calgary Flames 5, Anaheim Ducks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
53%
ANA winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:45 | 0.37 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:17 | 0.00 | 28.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:40 | 0.03 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.04 | 51.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.87 | 64.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.18 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.25 | 53.5% | +32.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 5 | 15:32 | 1.29 | 72.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 42.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.10 | 40.7% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.13 | 29.6% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.56 | 64.2% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.23 | 30.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 28.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.11 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.54 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:52 | 0.37 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.12 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.51 | 71.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.06 | 52.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.59 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.05 | 64.2% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.32 | 81.1% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.11 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.23 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.04 | 66.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.33 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.19 | 41.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.09 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.05 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.23 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.24 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.37 | −1.6 | 58:28 |