Mon, Apr 6, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
63%
21%
BUF winsTBL wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
BUF attack the right-hand net, TBL the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
BUFTBL