Mon, Apr 6, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
63%
21%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 25:45 | 0.22 | 64.9% | +38.1 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 24:54 | 0.77 | 69.7% | +38.1 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.39 | 66.8% | +16.4 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.19 | 70.9% | +21.7 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.10 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.17 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.12 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.10 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.01 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.11 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.01 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.05 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.08 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:23 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.95 | −0.1 | 58:05 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.08 | 39.9% | +23.6 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.00 | 69.3% | +37.3 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.07 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:59 | 0.76 | 63.0% | +13.7 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.12 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.41 | 38.8% | +17.3 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 89.4% | +13.7 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.14 | 36.8% | +17.3 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.07 | 37.9% | +17.3 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:24 | 0.93 | 50.9% | +5.7 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 13:44 | 0.57 | 65.0% | +29.3 |
 Luke SchennD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.11 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.05 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:58 | 0.13 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.31 | +0.3 | 60:00 |