Thu, Apr 9, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
19%
66%
BUF winsCBJ wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lundeström–Marchenko–Fantilli | Coyle–Heinen–Sillinger | Wood–Monahan–Johnson | Jenner–Garland–Marchment | Monahan–Garland–Marchment | Jenner–Wood–Lundeström | Heinen–Marchenko–Fantilli | Coyle–Garland–Marchenko | Marchenko–Sillinger–Fantilli | Coyle–Johnson–Sillinger | Coyle–Marchenko–Fantilli | Jenner–Heinen–Sillinger | Werenski–Fabbro | Provorov–Mateychuk | Gudbranson–Zamula | Werenski–Provorov | Werenski–Mateychuk | Provorov–Zamula | Gudbranson–Werenski | Gudbranson–Provorov | Gudbranson–Fabbro | Gudbranson–Mateychuk | Provorov–Fabbro | Fabbro–Mateychuk | Werenski–Zamula | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | 1:510.00–0.03 | 1:390.01–0.01 | 1:120.00–0.17 | 1:070.00–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.07 | 1:360.13–0.00 | 3:050.09–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.10 | 1:020.00–0.14 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.08 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 1:530.04–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.27 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:120.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.29 | 2:510.00–0.17 | 1:290.15–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.20 | |||||||||||
| Norris–Doan–Benson | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 1:050.11–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:120.03–0.00 | 2:330.07–0.01 | 1:570.13–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.18 | 0:470.16–0.00 | 1:080.23–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | 0:380.00–0.10 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:030.09–0.11 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:330.01–0.03 | 2:120.05–0.13 | 1:160.00–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:490.09–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:070.02–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 1:110.00–0.07 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 3:170.13–0.00 | 2:320.02–0.04 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.26 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:320.11–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:020.23–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:440.00–0.21 | 1:020.07–0.01 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 3:180.11–0.11 | 1:480.04–0.27 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:210.04–0.14 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.08 | 0:470.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Stanley–Metsa | 0:470.04–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 2:150.11–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:480.09–0.11 | 0:310.00–0.06 | 1:020.01–0.03 | 1:560.05–0.03 | 2:470.11–0.09 | 1:540.00–0.17 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 1:100.09–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Stanley–Samuelsson | 0:510.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.26 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:560.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Metsa | 0:540.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:390.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stanley–Byram | 0:360.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach WerenskiCBJ | 24 | 28:46 | 1:12 | 3:08 | 8 | 2 |
 Ivan ProvorovCBJ | 26 | 24:41 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 5 | 6 |
 Charlie CoyleCBJ | 24 | 23:04 | 0:58 | 2:08 | 8 | 8 |
 Kirill MarchenkoCBJ | 20 | 21:58 | 1:06 | 2:17 | 7 | 3 |
 Adam FantilliCBJ | 20 | 21:25 | 1:04 | 2:34 | 7 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 21:16 | 0:53 | 2:22 | 2 | 9 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 21:03 | 0:53 | 2:45 | 1 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 20:11 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 4 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 19:47 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 2 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 24 | 19:32 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 5 | 3 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 18 | 19:26 | 1:05 | 2:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Denton MateychukCBJ | 20 | 18:06 | 0:54 | 2:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Mason MarchmentCBJ | 21 | 17:56 | 0:51 | 2:23 | 9 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 16:47 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 4 | 4 |
 Dante FabbroCBJ | 20 | 16:30 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 19 | 16:19 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik GudbransonCBJ | 20 | 15:46 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 22 | 15:39 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 4 | 4 |
 Sean MonahanCBJ | 24 | 15:25 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:48 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 2 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 22 | 14:42 | 0:40 | 1:37 | 4 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 22 | 14:36 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 6 | 5 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 2 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 16 | 14:18 | 0:54 | 2:50 | 2 | 2 |
 Cole SillingerCBJ | 16 | 13:37 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 |
 Isac LundeströmCBJ | 19 | 13:29 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 5 | 2 |
 Boone JennerCBJ | 20 | 12:50 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor GarlandCBJ | 21 | 12:39 | 0:36 | 1:14 | 5 | 1 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 16 | 12:00 | 0:45 | 2:13 | 0 | 4 |
 Danton HeinenCBJ | 15 | 11:39 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 16 | 11:30 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Egor ZamulaCBJ | 12 | 10:37 | 0:53 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Miles WoodCBJ | 15 | 10:22 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 15 | 9:38 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Kent JohnsonCBJ | 15 | 9:18 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |