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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 9, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Raymond, saved by Vladar
  3. P1 0:29Shot by Dvorak, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:24Shot by Foerster, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 1:33Shot by Foerster, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 2:07Michkov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Mazur · PHI Seeler, Cates, Andrae, Bump, Michkov

  7. P1 2:15Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar5v4
  8. P1 2:28Goal by DeBrincat (Raymond, Seider)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · PHI Couturier, Glendening, Sanheim, York

  9. P1 2:45Faulk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Larkin, Raymond, Finnie · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Martone

  10. P1 2:56Shot by Martone, saved by Gibson4v5
  11. P1 3:24Shot by Foerster, saved by Gibson4v5
  12. P1 3:28Shot by Drysdale, saved by Gibson4v5
  13. P1 6:37Shot by Konecny, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 8:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 9:57Foerster: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · PHI Seeler, Tippett, Zegras, Andrae, Foerster

  16. P1 13:24Goal by Dvorak (Martone, Konecny)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Kasper · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Martone

  17. P1 14:13Shot by Barkey, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 15:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Vladar
  19. P1 18:26Chiarot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, Mazur, Finnie · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Tippett, Andrae, Foerster

  20. P1 19:52Shot by Foerster, saved by Gibson4v5
  21. P1 0:00Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · PHI Ristolainen, Dvorak, Zegras, Foerster, Martone

  22. P1 0:00Raymond: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · PHI Ristolainen, Dvorak, Zegras, Foerster, Martone

  23. P1 0:00Martone: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · PHI Ristolainen, Dvorak, Zegras, Foerster, Martone

  24. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:15Tippett: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Faulk, Copp, Compher, Edvinsson · PHI Dvorak, Tippett, York, Drysdale

  27. P2 0:32Goal by Seider (Kane, Larkin)5v3+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, York

  28. P2 1:50Goal by Larkin (Kane, Seider)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Dvorak, York

  29. P2 2:43Seider: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Shine, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Martone

  30. P2 3:17Shot by Copp, saved by Vladar4v5
  31. P2 4:15Faulk: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Raymond, Kasper · PHI Ristolainen, Dvorak, Konecny, Tippett, Michkov

  32. P2 4:56Goal by Larkin (Johansson)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Johansson, Edvinsson · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Foerster, Martone

  33. P2 5:37Shot by Konecny, saved by Gibson4v5
  34. P2 6:07Shot by Seider, saved by Ersson4v5
  35. P2 7:22Shot by Drysdale, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 7:28Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ersson
  37. P2 7:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 8:50Shot by Copp, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 8:58Faulk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Faulk, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · PHI Cates, York, Drysdale, Bump, Michkov

  40. P2 9:23Shot by Zegras, saved by Gibson4v5
  41. P2 9:25Goal by Martone (Zegras, Drysdale)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · PHI Cates, Zegras, Drysdale, Foerster, Martone

  42. P2 11:07Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ersson
  43. P2 11:12Shot by Seider, saved by Ersson
  44. P2 15:12Shot by Konecny, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 18:06Shot by Sanheim, saved by Talbot
  46. P2 19:22Shot by Raymond, saved by Ersson
  47. P2 19:43Shot by Kane, saved by Ersson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:07Shot by Drysdale, saved by Talbot
  51. P3 1:57Shot by Cates, saved by Talbot
  52. P3 5:39Shot by Sanheim, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 6:05Shot by Martone, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 6:24Shot by Raymond, saved by Ersson
  55. P3 7:01Goal by Kane (Edvinsson, Seider)+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Zegras, Foerster

  56. P3 7:11Shot by Faulk, saved by Ersson
  57. P3 7:49Shot by Drysdale, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 9:46Shot by Sanheim, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 10:20Johansson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie · PHI Ristolainen, Cates, Zegras, Drysdale, Foerster

  60. P3 10:20Zegras: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie · PHI Ristolainen, Cates, Zegras, Drysdale, Foerster

  61. P3 11:39Goal by Larkin (Seider, Raymond)4v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Bump, Barkey

  62. P3 12:16Shot by Kane, saved by Ersson4v4
  63. P3 12:51Shot by Raymond, saved by Ersson
  64. P3 13:15Edvinsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Edvinsson, Finnie · PHI Tippett, Zegras, Andrae, Drysdale, Foerster

  65. P3 13:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Talbot4v5
  66. P3 17:23Shot by Bump, saved by Talbot
  67. P3 17:30Shot by Cates, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 18:09Goal by Glendening (Barkey, Couturier)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Perron, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Glendening, Andrae, Barkey

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final