Thu, Apr 9, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
11%
50%
DET winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:04 | 0.16 | 65.3% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.43 | 66.6% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.03 | 57.4% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.27 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.05 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.15 | 62.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:08 | 0.32 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.04 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.27 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.27 | 63.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.11 | 91.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.21 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.12 | 94.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.05 | 91.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 14 | 12 | 2 | .857 | 0.79 | −1.2 | 35:04 | |
| L | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 1.18 | −2.8 | 24:56 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 3 | 22:06 | 0.16 | 67.7% | +49.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.00 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 69.3% | +3.9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.56 | 53.6% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.02 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 2.1% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.08 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:08 | 0.28 | 38.8% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.54 | 44.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.32 | 44.5% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.02 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 15 | 13 | 2 | .867 | 1.51 | −0.5 | 30:40 | |
| – | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 0.98 | 0.0 | 29:20 |