Sat, Apr 11, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
New Jersey Devils 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.
21%
64%
DET winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 63.8% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.19 | 63.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:12 | 0.22 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:58 | 0.90 | 73.7% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.13 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.64 | 72.8% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.23 | 70.7% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.44 | 67.2% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 49.6% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.11 | 66.3% | +33.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.28 | 64.0% | +76.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.04 | 57.2% | +27.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 12:13 | 0.57 | 62.3% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.26 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.04 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:04 | 0.10 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:49 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.77 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:47 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.01 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:31 | 0.21 | 38.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.07 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.15 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.17 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:08 | 0.32 | 30.7% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.17 | 31.1% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.19 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.43 | 49.1% | +50.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 15:37 | 0.57 | 50.7% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.14 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.14 | 36.7% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.04 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:13 | 0.01 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:17 | 0.10 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.42 | −0.6 | 58:45 |