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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:06Shot by Moser, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 2:42Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:50Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 4:46Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 5:27Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:31Goal by Perron (Compher, Chiarot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · DET Perron, Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, Mazur

  9. P1 5:46Shot by Carlile, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 6:34Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:29Shot by Moser, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 8:01Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 8:22D'Astous: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Lilleberg · DET Perron, Compher, Seider, Edvinsson, Mazur

  14. P1 9:30Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  15. P1 10:23Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:59Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 12:29Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 13:17Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 14:17Shot by Finnie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 15:28Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 16:52Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 17:05Goal by Geekie (Bjorkstrand)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Sabourin, Bjorkstrand, Moser, Carlile, Geekie · DET Chiarot, Faulk, Larkin, Raymond, Finnie

  23. P1 17:45Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 17:56Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:47Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 3:44Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 3:58Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 4:28Shot by Carlile, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 4:36Moser: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Paul, Moser, Carlile · DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson

  33. P2 5:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 9:19DeBrincat: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cirelli, Goncalves, Moser, Carlile · DET Perron, Compher, DeBrincat, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka

  35. P2 10:31Shot by Goncalves, saved by Talbot5v4
  36. P2 12:17Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 14:49Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 15:23Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 15:47Shot by Cernak, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 15:49Shot by McDonagh, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 15:53Goal by Cernak (McDonagh, Girgensons)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Paul, Cernak · DET Chiarot, Faulk, Larkin, Raymond, Finnie

  42. P2 16:24Shot by D'Astous, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 16:50Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 17:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 18:03Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Moser)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, Moser, Carlile · DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Copp, DeBrincat

  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:08Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 1:13Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 2:52Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 2:56Goal by Kasper (van Riemsdyk, Faulk)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Sabourin, Bjorkstrand, Moser, Carlile, Geekie · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Faulk, Kasper, Brandsegg-Nygård

  52. P3 8:48Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 10:28D'Astous: Illegal stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Sabourin, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Lilleberg, Geekie · DET van Riemsdyk, Johansson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård

  54. P3 10:36Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  55. P3 11:26Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P3 11:54Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  57. P3 12:37Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 12:47Shot by Guentzel, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 15:16Goal by DeBrincat (Kane)+43 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, D'Astous, Goncalves, Lilleberg · DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. OT 0:00Period start
  62. OT 0:18Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  63. OT 0:27Goal by Kucherov (Point)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Moser · DET Copp, DeBrincat, Seider

  64. OT 0:27Period end3v3
  65. OT 0:27Final4v4