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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53000−1425:500.1258.8%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #770000221:170.0661.4%0.0
Justin FaulkD · #72011−1420:280.0941.4%+13.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−2018:040.0930.4%0.0
Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44000+1017:520.0358.7%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93101−1617:510.8048.5%+42.9
Ben ChiarotD · #8011−1117:430.0343.0%+15.0
Dylan LarkinC · #71000−2117:330.0225.1%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #880110117:260.2252.0%+42.9
Emmitt FinnieC · #58000−2116:560.1228.9%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #18000−1116:410.1349.0%0.0
David PerronLW · #57101+1314:480.3162.1%+15.0
Albert JohanssonD · #20000+1213:430.2068.1%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37011+1013:330.0059.1%+15.0
Marco KasperC · #92101+1413:320.3384.6%+13.0
Carter MazurLW · #34000+1012:230.1670.8%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21011+1012:140.0080.7%+13.0
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW · #28000+1011:270.0584.2%0.0
Cam Talbot#39O22184.8182.65−1.360:27

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

J.J. MoserD · #90011+2222:100.0254.6%+13.6
Jake GuentzelC · #59101+1221:290.1240.9%+13.6
Ryan McDonaghD · #27011+1120:320.1850.8%+27.9
Declan CarlileD · #67000+1220:220.1960.9%0.0
Erik CernakD · #81101+1219:420.2550.7%+27.9
Emil LillebergD · #78000−2118:490.0629.3%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #37000+1018:100.0081.3%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71000−1117:370.0650.2%0.0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51000−2117:350.1234.9%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #861120316:290.5738.0%+64.5
Brayden PointC · #21011+1216:130.3530.1%+50.9
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28011+1015:540.2081.3%+27.9
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000−2115:100.1339.1%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #20000+1215:000.0769.3%0.0
Corey PerryRW · #100000013:290.0762.6%0.0
Scott SabourinRW · #46000008:560.0639.4%0.0
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22011018:550.0435.9%+16.2
Conor GeekieC · #14101018:490.1735.9%+16.2
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W30273.9002.77−0.260:27