Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
TBL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:50 | 0.12 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.06 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:28 | 0.09 | 41.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.09 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.03 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 17:51 | 0.80 | 48.5% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 43.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.02 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.22 | 52.0% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.12 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.13 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.31 | 62.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.20 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 59.1% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:32 | 0.33 | 84.6% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.16 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 80.7% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.05 | 84.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.65 | −1.3 | 60:27 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.02 | 54.6% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.12 | 40.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.18 | 50.8% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.19 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.25 | 50.7% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.06 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.12 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.57 | 38.0% | +64.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.35 | 30.1% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.20 | 81.3% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.13 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.07 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.07 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.06 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.04 | 35.9% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.17 | 35.9% | +16.2 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.77 | −0.2 | 60:27 |