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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 13, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–Raymond–FinnieKane–Copp–DeBrincatPerron–Compher–Mazurvan Riemsdyk–Kasper–Brandsegg-NygårdSeider–EdvinssonChiarot–FaulkJohansson–Sandin-PellikkaFaulk–Sandin-Pellikka
Gourde–Girgensons–Paul9:280.70–0.061:000.00–0.005:260.09–0.144:350.67–0.030:510.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Goncalves6:290.23–0.271:450.05–0.151:130.00–0.004:240.04–0.162:480.13–0.112:460.11–0.15
Perry–Guentzel–Point1:030.00–0.001:460.12–0.005:220.14–0.081:310.00–0.004:050.12–0.031:580.05–0.043:390.08–0.02
Sabourin–Bjorkstrand–Geekie0:480.17–0.255:290.08–0.271:040.04–0.034:040.20–0.581:330.06–0.03
Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli0:410.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:370.00–0.290:370.00–0.29
Moser–Carlile0:330.17–0.007:020.51–0.353:100.06–0.044:010.02–0.237:480.12–0.394:090.58–0.233:070.12–0.00
D'Astous–Lilleberg0:380.00–0.002:250.04–0.155:490.18–0.384:230.06–0.053:350.04–0.033:260.05–0.296:380.13–0.38
McDonagh–Cernak9:140.68–0.291:080.00–0.061:220.00–0.005:340.03–0.115:530.66–0.301:290.00–0.00
McDonagh–Carlile1:030.00–0.010:300.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
Cernak–Moser0:390.00–0.120:430.06–0.120:350.00–0.00
Moser–Lilleberg0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPaul FGirgensons FGourde FGoncalves FCirelli FKucherov FPerry FPoint FGuentzel FGeekie FBjorkstrand FSabourin FMcDonagh DCernak DD'Astous DLilleberg DMoser DCarlile DVasilevskiy GRaymond FFinnie FLarkin FCopp FDeBrincat FKane FCompher FMazur FPerron Fvan Riemsdyk FBrandsegg-Nygård FKasper FChiarot DFaulk DEdvinsson DSeider DSandin-Pellikka DJohansson DTalbot G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2625:501:002:1444
J.J. MoserTBL2822:100:481:3810
Jake GuentzelTBL2121:291:012:1654
Simon EdvinssonDET2621:170:491:2234
Ryan McDonaghTBL2520:320:491:2325
Justin FaulkDET2520:280:491:5316
Declan CarlileTBL2520:220:491:4211
Erik CernakTBL2519:420:471:1525
Emil LillebergTBL2318:490:491:2544
Yanni GourdeTBL2218:100:501:0605
Lucas RaymondDET2118:040:521:2760
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET2217:520:491:2422
Alex DeBrincatDET2117:510:511:5521
Ben ChiarotDET2317:430:461:2524
Anthony CirelliTBL2217:370:481:2923
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2117:350:502:0743
Dylan LarkinDET2117:330:501:4471
Patrick KaneDET2017:260:521:3732
Emmitt FinnieDET2116:560:481:4441
Andrew CoppDET2316:410:441:1014
Nikita KucherovTBL2016:290:491:5321
Brayden PointTBL1816:130:542:1452
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2115:540:451:0505
Gage GoncalvesTBL2115:100:431:2321
Nick PaulTBL1815:000:501:2105
David PerronDET2014:480:441:2635
Albert JohanssonDET2013:430:411:2522
J.T. CompherDET1713:330:481:2535
Marco KasperDET1813:320:451:1732
Corey PerryTBL1613:290:511:4732
Carter MazurDET1712:230:441:2435
James van RiemsdykDET1712:140:431:0531
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET1711:270:401:0931
Scott SabourinTBL128:560:451:0922
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL128:550:451:2622
Conor GeekieTBL128:490:441:1122