Wed, Apr 15, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New York Rangers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
58%
8%
26%
TBL winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:23 | 0.33 | 35.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.48 | 22.2% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.06 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.05 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.09 | 22.2% | +7.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.32 | 17.0% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.02 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.16 | 72.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.02 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.57 | 61.2% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.19 | 46.8% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.03 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.13 | 55.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.20 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.07 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.71 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.80 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.35 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:16 | 0.67 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.16 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.28 | 33.7% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.38 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:51 | 0.16 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.08 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.04 | 33.9% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.09 | 85.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.01 | 54.2% | +6.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.27 | 26.8% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 77.1% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.20 | 81.4% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.06 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.12 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.45 | −1.6 | 56:47 |